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Archive 2020 · Hogan's article - The DSLR cash cow is alive for how long?

  
 
sum1sgrampa
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p.6 #1 · Hogan's article - The DSLR cash cow is alive for how long?


ShootPDX wrote:
Blackout free shooting of my a9ii has completely spoiled me. I like the live view setting that mirrorless provides. Sure, DSLR can do the same, but it removes the mirror from the DSLR's process, so why have the DSLR?

I like the size of mirrorless, and DSLR will likely never be able to get that small. I can always add a grip to my a9ii to make it larger, but I can't make a DSLR smaller.

Mirrorless is what I learned on, and I think it will only become more and more common as new folks enter the field and are drawn
...Show more
different strokes for different folks as they say. I can appreciate the blackout issue for some but even in very long bursts tracking a subject I've never felt the blackout was a factor for me. I never use live view but that may be because I don't own a camera with an effective live view option (D500 and D810). I've played around with some EVF cameras but I can't imagine ever holding a camera out in front of me and viewing a screen. I also have no interest in small cameras. Too fussy with the small buttons and I despise straps so I need something to hold on to. Thanks for the response. Always interesting to see what checks people's boxes.



Jan 11, 2020 at 02:59 PM
sum1sgrampa
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p.6 #2 · Hogan's article - The DSLR cash cow is alive for how long?


T-O Shooter wrote:
Well if they're money challenged i.e. poor, and buying used gear, why are they blocking up camera stores, hogging sale associates' time, and dirtying up the floors?


I hope there's some humor intended here somewhere. This is nasty even by your standards Shooter



Jan 11, 2020 at 03:03 PM
ShootPDX
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p.6 #3 · Hogan's article - The DSLR cash cow is alive for how long?


sum1sgrampa wrote:
different strokes for different folks as they say. I can appreciate the blackout issue for some but even in very long bursts tracking a subject I've never felt the blackout was a factor for me. I never use live view but that may be because I don't own a camera with an effective live view option (D500 and D810). I've played around with some EVF cameras but I can't imagine ever holding a camera out in front of me and viewing a screen. I also have no interest in small cameras. Too fussy with the small buttons and I despise
...Show more


Why would you hold a camera out in front of you to look at the EVF?


At any rate, mirrorless technology has seen rapid adoption in the past decade, and there's a reason for it. It will only continue to grow, and as Canon has already announced their plans to stop developing new EF lenses, I think more will follow suit.



Jan 11, 2020 at 03:06 PM
sum1sgrampa
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p.6 #4 · Hogan's article - The DSLR cash cow is alive for how long?


ShootPDX wrote:
Why would you hold a camera out in front of you to look at the EVF?


At any rate, mirrorless technology has seen rapid adoption in the past decade, and there's a reason for it. It will only continue to grow, and as Canon has already announced their plans to stop developing new EF lenses, I think more will follow suit.


Just speaks to my interest in this class of camera. I've never researched them so have no idea how they work. Apparently I'm confusing Live View with EVF. I'll be dead before I can afford to switch systems anyways. Ignorance is truly bliss



Jan 11, 2020 at 03:12 PM
T-O Shooter
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p.6 #5 · Hogan's article - The DSLR cash cow is alive for how long?


sum1sgrampa wrote:
I hope there's some humor intended here somewhere. This is nasty even by your standards Shooter


I thought it was all humour. Mawz said that most of the people in the stores were young, cash strapped individuals, but in another part of his post said they were buying used.

I'm from Toronto, so the place to buy used gear is the classifieds, Craigslist or Kijiji, with Craigslist seeming to lean more to downtown Toronto areas (or metro transit connected) when it comes to cameras advertised. You can buy at Vistek or Henry's but certainly at a huge premium. (where budget limited should come into play)

An aside to that, even if they are in Vistek, Henry's, Downtown Camera and buying used, that's of little to no benefit to Nikon, Canon or Sony. So nothing helping declining sales.

Not sure even if I were serious how there was anything nasty said.



Jan 11, 2020 at 03:14 PM
ShootPDX
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p.6 #6 · Hogan's article - The DSLR cash cow is alive for how long?


sum1sgrampa wrote:
Just speaks to my interest in this class of camera. I've never researched them so have no idea how they work. Apparently I'm confusing Live View with EVF. I'll be dead before I can afford to switch systems anyways. Ignorance is truly bliss


EVF = Electronic Viewfinder, OVF = Optical Viewfinder. They both are viewfinders, EVF just shows you what the sensors sees, OVF shows you what the lens sees!

But you're right, they're not for everyone.



Jan 11, 2020 at 03:14 PM
sum1sgrampa
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p.6 #7 · Hogan's article - The DSLR cash cow is alive for how long?


T-O Shooter wrote:
I thought it was all humour. Mawz said that most of the people in the stores were young, cash strapped individuals, but in another part of his post said they were buying used.

I'm from Toronto, so the place to buy used gear is the classifieds, Craigslist or Kijiji, with Craigslist seeming to lean more to downtown Toronto areas (or metro transit connected) when it comes to cameras advertised. You can buy at Vistek or Henry's but certainly at a huge premium. (where budget limited should come into play)

An aside to that, even if they are in Vistek, Henry's,
...Show more

When it comes to nasty, I'm more concerned with the Sabres goaltending at the moment



Jan 11, 2020 at 03:19 PM
mawz
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p.6 #8 · Hogan's article - The DSLR cash cow is alive for how long?


T-O Shooter wrote:
I thought it was all humour. Mawz said that most of the people in the stores were young, cash strapped individuals, but in another part of his post said they were buying used.

I'm from Toronto, so the place to buy used gear is the classifieds, Craigslist or Kijiji, with Craigslist seeming to lean more to downtown Toronto areas (or metro transit connected) when it comes to cameras advertised. You can buy at Vistek or Henry's but certainly at a huge premium. (where budget limited should come into play)

An aside to that, even if they are in Vistek, Henry's,
...Show more

And I've long abandoned both Craigslist (pretty dead in TO) and Kijiji (Scammer central) for used gear. A pain to buy through and even worse for sales.

Henry's is OK once you consider the included warranty on used kit and their 8- and 7 rated items are often a deal when you consider the warranty. Downtown can be pretty good unless you want old film bodies (Stan charges too much for them by far, but he's also pretty good with regulars and I can't remember the last time I paid tag price on used kit from him)

I also said nothing about used gear ;-) I mentioned 4-6 year old bodies (many of which are still available new at major discounts, like D750's and D610's)



Jan 11, 2020 at 03:28 PM
Sauseschritt
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p.6 #9 · Hogan's article - The DSLR cash cow is alive for how long?


Ah the good old mirrorless vs SLR debate. I think I'm doing these since at least eight years by now ?

Well theres two actual advantages of mirrorless that, to me, are actually there, and are actually substantial enough to matter, and those are:

- Assuming the manufacturer manages to actually implement that, they can have autofocus that needs no calibration.

- Assuming the manufacturer manages to actually implement that, they can have excellent support for manual focus, with technologies such as magnification, focus peaking, digital split image, and digital micro prism (the later two are only available on Fujifilm).

Then you have the somewhat mixed bag of the OVF vs EVF discussion. EVFs have some advantages, sure, but they have many problems as well. One problem you cannot get rid of with EVF is their need for current. And for example a SLR can actually be manually focused with the camera switched off, unless the lens is focus by wire.

Other potential problems of EVFs include limited dynamic range, caused by the fact that EVFs are actually tiny monitors with an optics in front of them, thus the individual pixel is very small and cannot display much of a range of brightness, lag in low light (and actually all EVFs I've ever tried have it in good light, too), problems/flickering with artificial lighting, and dazzling the user by being too bright in low light.

Also, unlike what some people claim, a good EVF isnt cheap either. Some people claim mirrorless would be cheaper to build, but I cant find any practical example which actually shows that.

All in all I dont really care if its an OVF or an EVF.

Other advantages are mostly in the head of people, but arent substantial or not even real at all:

- Mirrorless aint smaller. Yes, if you compare a specialized APS-C mirrorless, like Fujifilm X, to a crop DSLR, then the mirrorless is smaller. However thats because the crop DSLR is a crop and not a full frame APS-C, so they have to waste a lot of space thats not necessary if it was actually an APS-C system. Also many mirrorless are more or less brutally optimized for small dimensions. The Sony FE mirrorless for example are smaller than Olympus and Panasonic Micro Four Thirds mirrorless. Thats one of the reasons why the Sonys are so uncomfortable to hold. Finally yes, mirrorless dont need a mirrorbox, however what you lose at the camera you gain back with telephoto lenses, which have to be larger.

- The advantage of mirrorless cameras in respect to wide angle lenses is much smaller than many people claim; in fact while in theory its there I cant see it actually be there in reality at all. Mirrorless wide angle lenses often have to be retrofocus, too, because otherwise you cannot support large apertures like f2 or f1.4 on a wide angle lens. Either way I have no trouble finding great SLR wide angle lenses that can, as far as I can see, easily compete with everything offered for mirrorlesss, when ignoring extremely expensive Leica lenses and ignoring medium format.

As a final note - a DSLR which would have an EVF next to the OVF, and would focus with the sensor itself instead of a separate sensor which needs calibration, could offer all the strengths of mirrorless. While Nikon would actually have the patents to do such a camera, it doesnt look like they're planning to do such a beast.




Jan 11, 2020 at 03:43 PM
ShootPDX
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p.6 #10 · Hogan's article - The DSLR cash cow is alive for how long?



Sauseschritt wrote:
Ah the good old mirrorless vs SLR debate. I think I'm doing these since at least eight years by now ?

Well theres two actual advantages of mirrorless that, to me, are actually there, and are actually substantial enough to matter, and those are:

- Assuming the manufacturer manages to actually implement that, they can have autofocus that needs no calibration.

- Assuming the manufacturer manages to actually implement that, they can have excellent support for manual focus, with technologies such as magnification, focus peaking, digital split image, and digital micro prism (the later two are only available on Fujifilm).

Then you have the
...Show more

The a9 is smaller than any FF DSLR. Sure, you have to account for the lens, but my a9ii and 55mm is tiny compared to the DSLR equivalent (1DXii or D5). I can also add a grip if I need and remove it when I don’t.

Mirrorless is smaller because it has needs less room for components. There’s no arguing that.

As far as dual OVF/EVF, I can’t imagine a market big enough that anyone would want both.

The camera market is moving toward mirrorless, there’s no disputing that. I’m not saying DSLRs will be extinct, but it’s clear manufactured are spending their R&D in the mirrorless segment.




Jan 11, 2020 at 04:19 PM
Steve Spencer
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p.6 #11 · Hogan's article - The DSLR cash cow is alive for how long?


Sauseschritt wrote:
Ah the good old mirrorless vs SLR debate. I think I'm doing these since at least eight years by now ?

Well theres two actual advantages of mirrorless that, to me, are actually there, and are actually substantial enough to matter, and those are:

- Assuming the manufacturer manages to actually implement that, they can have autofocus that needs no calibration.

- Assuming the manufacturer manages to actually implement that, they can have excellent support for manual focus, with technologies such as magnification, focus peaking, digital split image, and digital micro prism (the later two are only available on Fujifilm).

Then you have the
...Show more

I think you missed one other obvious difference between mirrorless and DSLR and that is with mirrorless you have much more flexibility in the length of the flange distance. You can pick a short flange distance like 16mm on the Nikon Z camera or you can make the flange distance as long as you like. We see that the major manufacturers have all gone with a short flange distance of 20mm or less. DLSR cannot have a shorter flange distance than about 42mm or so because there has to be room for the mirror to go up and down.

Are there advantages to this shorter flange distance? Well, one implication of this shorter flange distance is that the camera is thinner. If the flange distance has to be at least 42mm then the camera is going to be over 50mm thick. Whether you like it or not mirrorless cameras can be and often are thinner than DSLRs. A second implication of this shorter flange distance is that the rear element of a lens will be closer to the sensor. This allows flexibility in how especially wide angles can be designed, but this flexibility does not automatically mean the designs are better. I disagree with Sauseschritt and I think flexibility can lead to excellent smaller wide angle lenses that do not have DSLR equivalents, but it doesn't always lead to better wide angles because not all designers use the flexibility of the short flange distance well. When they do, however, we get some stunning lenses that are both small and excellent. Let me give a few examples.

First let's look at the Zeiss Loxia 21 f/2.8. This lens weighs less than 400g and is quite small in the hand, yet it has performance that is slightly superior to the very highly regard Zeiss C/Y and ZE/ZF/Milvus 21 f/2.8, which is much much bigger. I have had both lenses for a long time and the Loxia really does stand up to it predecessors and has just a tiny bit better performance, but what sets it apart is that it has that performance in a lens that is so much smaller (look at the front elements for example 52mm filter threads vs. 77 or 82 mm filter threads).

Second let's look at the Sony FE 24 f/1.4 GM. This lens weighs less than 500g, but is quite simply the best performing 24mm that has ever been made, IMO. It has a fast aperture. It has excellent bokeh. I has a flat field. It is very sharp. Just an excellent all around lens even if it isn't perfect and it accomplishes that in a very small size. Much the same could be said about the Voigtlander 21 f/1.4 which is just 560g and despite the very wide aperture is both small and excellent in performance.

I could go on, but I think if you want both excellent performance and small size in wide angle lenses then mirrorless provides the flexibility that comes with a short flange distance to make such lenses possible. Now not all lenses designed for mirrorless have taken appropriate advantage of this flexibility but enough have to see that the advantages clearly there.

Finally let me add one more advantage that comes with mirrorless that hasn't yet been implemented in a DSLR except in live view shooting and that is contrast detect AF. Contrast detect AF when there is time is simply much more accurate. It can't be used for all targets, but if you shoot static or close to static scenes it will give you much more accurate AF and it simply has never been implemented in a camera when the mirror is down and the optical view finder is in operation.



Jan 11, 2020 at 04:38 PM
rattymouse
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p.6 #12 · Hogan's article - The DSLR cash cow is alive for how long?


mawz wrote:
I'd disagree pretty intensively with this. Living in a major city with 3+ universities and a major art & film scene and I constantly see kids with digital cameras. And by constantly I mean weekly if not daily.


I see zip. Zero. None, on an average daily basis.

mawz wrote:
The folks not buying camera gear are the folks in their 30's and 40's. There's a huge interest in photography from the younger set and I see a lot more of them in camera stores than anybody else anymore, it's not unusual for me to be the oldest non-employee in the store (at 42). Heck film sales seem to be increasing and that's being driven by the younger set.

But they're budget limited (being young and income-limited) and new cameras bring little to the table over a 4-6 year old body that's already more than good enough.

Who is going to
...Show more

What camera stores? Every last one I frequented has closed down, save one and that one looks like a ghost town.

The stats don't lie. Camera sales have been in a state of collapse for YEARS. Ignore that or rationalize or tap dance round that but the fact remains.



Jan 11, 2020 at 06:20 PM
RayinNY
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p.6 #13 · Hogan's article - The DSLR cash cow is alive for how long?


rattymouse wrote:
I see zip. Zero. None, on an average daily basis.

What camera stores? Every last one I frequented has closed down, save one and that one looks like a ghost town.

The stats don't lie. Camera sales have been in a state of collapse for YEARS. Ignore that or rationalize or tap dance round that but the fact remains.



I see some everyday and the major camera stores here are doing well. In fact I saw some kids yesterday on the High Line with a DSLR on a gimbal. Then again I'm in NYC, maybe it's completely dead elsewhere.



Jan 12, 2020 at 09:01 AM
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p.6 #14 · Hogan's article - The DSLR cash cow is alive for how long?


RayinNY wrote:
I see some everyday and the major camera stores here are doing well. In fact I saw some kids yesterday on the High Line with a DSLR on a gimbal. Then again I'm in NYC, maybe it's completely dead elsewhere.


NYC is not at all representative of elsewhere, as much as I love the city. No only is there more people, so you have a larger sample size, but you have tourists etc. skewing. Also helps to have two major retail stores in Manhattan where some people maybe have to drive 3+ hours to find a physical store.



Jan 12, 2020 at 09:22 AM
1bwana1
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p.6 #15 · Hogan's article - The DSLR cash cow is alive for how long?


The two camera stores (one has two locations, so three physical stores) here in the San Diego area seem to be doing very well. Great staff, good service, valuable events, means that they get good support from the local photography community. I really do hope it stays this way.


Jan 12, 2020 at 09:28 AM
RayinNY
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p.6 #16 · Hogan's article - The DSLR cash cow is alive for how long?


BPsmith511 wrote:
NYC is not at all representative of elsewhere, as much as I love the city. No only is there more people, so you have a larger sample size, but you have tourists etc. skewing. Also helps to have two major retail stores in Manhattan where some people maybe have to drive 3+ hours to find a physical store.


While that's true, I've been here a very long time. Even 5-7 years ago I didn't see a lot of younger kids with DSLRs. I think with cameras so cheap now it's allowed the younger generation to give it a try. Entry level Nikons and Canons seemed to be popular here. There are still things even an entry level camera can do that an iPhone can't at least for now.



Jan 12, 2020 at 09:35 AM
rattymouse
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p.6 #17 · Hogan's article - The DSLR cash cow is alive for how long?


RayinNY wrote:
I see some everyday and the major camera stores here are doing well. In fact I saw some kids yesterday on the High Line with a DSLR on a gimbal. Then again I'm in NYC, maybe it's completely dead elsewhere.


. NYC is not the entire world.



Jan 12, 2020 at 03:58 PM
rattymouse
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p.6 #18 · Hogan's article - The DSLR cash cow is alive for how long?


RayinNY wrote:
While that's true, I've been here a very long time. Even 5-7 years ago I didn't see a lot of younger kids with DSLRs. I think with cameras so cheap now it's allowed the younger generation to give it a try. Entry level Nikons and Canons seemed to be popular here. There are still things even an entry level camera can do that an iPhone can't at least for now.



Step outside your bubble and you will see free and clear exactly why the traditional camera industry has collapsed.

Only the fact that all these companies are Japanese do half of them still even make cameras. Were they American, the bean counters long ago would have shut them down. It's only a matter of time until economics forces the Japanese to finally see reality. You can't lose double digit amounts of revenue in perpetuity without consequences.




Jan 12, 2020 at 04:00 PM
RayinNY
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p.6 #19 · Hogan's article - The DSLR cash cow is alive for how long?


rattymouse wrote:
. NYC is not the entire world.


I think you have a reading comprehension problem.



Jan 12, 2020 at 04:11 PM
rattymouse
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p.6 #20 · Hogan's article - The DSLR cash cow is alive for how long?


RayinNY wrote:
I think you have a reading comprehension problem.


You are incorrect.



Jan 12, 2020 at 04:39 PM
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