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Archive 2006 · 'Unofficial' Photokina RUMOR Thread

  
 
charlesteton
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p.102 #1 · 'Unofficial' Photokina RUMOR Thread


More info on:

http://www.imaging-resource.com/NEWS/1159267429.html
http://www.photokina-show.com/0426/canon/usbflashdrive/canonm30/

http://www.imaging-resource.com/NPICS1/MEDIA_STORAGE_M80_1_L.JPG

Edited by Jeff on Sep 29, 2006 at 06:34 PM GMT (Reason: un-embedded link to copyrighted material)


Sep 29, 2006 at 12:50 PM
Koivulehto
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p.102 #2 · 'Unofficial' Photokina RUMOR Thread


eosfun wrote on page 211 https://www.fredmiranda.com/forum/topic/436826/210 of this thread:
Davemart wrote:

David, You might be surprised soon. EVF is not just for entry level anymore. Visit Canon's stand at Photokina. I expect some new productline that will be introduced where EVF is part of the system (take system quite literally here). Just come to the main stage and wonder what is happening. Have EOSfun!


As Jeff just said, it definitely sounded like EOSfun would have known something ...

OK, I don't blame him, since his post inspired me to start the "mirrorless EVF bodies" speculation, which I found very intriguing.



Sep 29, 2006 at 01:01 PM
DaveMart
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p.102 #3 · 'Unofficial' Photokina RUMOR Thread


Koivulehto wrote:
As Jeff just said, it definitely sounded like EOSfun would have known something ...

OK, I don't blame him, since his post inspired me to start the "mirrorless EVF bodies" speculation, which I found very intriguing.


We had fun, anyway, didn't we? - and a penny gets you a pound that we will see EVIL cameras sometime, not too far away
Pentax and Sigma have been the most exciting things at this show though..
Life is full of disappointments - ask my wife - so it doesn't bother me at all if we have indulged in a bit of speculation!
Regards,
DaveMart



Sep 29, 2006 at 01:26 PM
Koivulehto
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p.102 #4 · 'Unofficial' Photokina RUMOR Thread


Yes, we had a lot of fun, and it is quite possible that we caught a glimpse of the future of digital system cameras. That's what I meant with intriguing, though I had to check the word after reading Dave's post.

intrigue – verb 1. to arouse the curiosity or interest of by unusual, new, or otherwise fascinating or compelling qualities; appeal strongly to; captivate



Sep 29, 2006 at 03:15 PM
jph1
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p.102 #5 · 'Unofficial' Photokina RUMOR Thread


Canon probably is ahead of their product launch roadmap in terms of development and staging. If they move too fast, it may force the type of cut-throat competition that we saw in personal computer products. They don’t wan’t that. We (consumers) do.

Products like the Pentax K10D and the new Sigma, help stimulate the development curve of the industry as a whole. Canon probably sees these products as no threat even though they may lose customers. The loss in customers may be offset by the number of people that decided to get a 5D, but wanted to wait incase something new came out at Photokina.

I would bet Canon’s next product is ready for production. I wouldn’t expect to see it until we see a fall off in sales of their current offerings.

Jim



Sep 29, 2006 at 05:06 PM
JRMDC
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p.102 #6 · 'Unofficial' Photokina RUMOR Thread


I must heartily disagree, with respect.

jph1 wrote:
Canon probably is ahead of their product launch roadmap in terms of development and staging. If they move too fast, it may force the type of cut-throat competition that we saw in personal computer products. They don’t wan’t that. We (consumers) do.


It seems to me like that competition is here at the low end, with Sony Alpha, Pentax, etc. etc. Furthermore, I don't see how canon can slow that competition by withholding products. If anything, they can avoid competition primarily by coming out with new products for which others don't have comparable offerings. When technology is advancing, moving fast is how one avoids the cut-throat.

Products like the Pentax K10D and the new Sigma, help stimulate the development curve of the industry as a whole. Canon probably sees these products as no threat even though they may lose customers. The loss in customers may be offset by the number of people that decided to get a 5D, but wanted to wait incase something new came out at Photokina.

I don't see how Canon's sales of 5Ds would be affected by competition at the lower end. The people getting a 5D are not offsetting other people, in a different level of the market, who leave canon for competitors. It happens at the same time, but the loss of customers is still a loss. It sounds like you are arguing that Pentax/Sigma expand the DSLR market, which leads to new customers for Canon in the full frame range. I don't buy that.

I would bet Canon’s next product is ready for production. I wouldn’t expect to see it until we see a fall off in sales of their current offerings.


They have not done so in the past. As far as I can tell, the digital rebel, XT, 20D, etc, were all selling quite well when replaced. I would expect Canon to bring out future new products on a more frequent basis. It is important that they stay close to the lead edge.



Sep 29, 2006 at 05:15 PM
jamesf99
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p.102 #7 · 'Unofficial' Photokina RUMOR Thread


jph1 wrote:
Canon probably is ahead of their product launch roadmap in terms of development and staging. If they move too fast, it may force the type of cut-throat competition that we saw in personal computer products. They don’t wan’t that. We (consumers) do.


I'm not sure what you're talking about. Canon ahead of its product launch roadmap? Exactly what does that mean?

Perhaps I've been around PCs longer than you but Intel literally screwed us all for 15 or 16 years, which is not a short time IMO, so where exactly was the "cut-throat" competiion you're talking about? Peripheral mfgs and "product assemblers" have typically operated on lower margins, but the principal mfgs, Intel, or Canon in this case, always enjoyed huge profits. Intel was absolutely egregious in their product pricing and release schedule so they could milk every dime out of people possible.

Canon won't enjoy that long run like Intel did. I'm not a Sony fan and think Nikon drinks its own bathwater, but I agree that we all need them to develop something decent (I'm not impressed with either companies offerings to date) and clip Canon's pricing wings.



Sep 29, 2006 at 05:28 PM
jph1
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p.102 #8 · 'Unofficial' Photokina RUMOR Thread


When I was talking about PC's I was referring to the price errosion for the BOX's not the chips from Intel. Intel is a good example of being ahead of your (product launch) roadmap. Intel had products fully developed and didn't release them until the plan or roadmap.

I think that's the position that Canon wants to be in (and every other company) but I agree that in this industry, it may not be that easy.

Basically competition is good for all of us consumers.

Jim



Sep 29, 2006 at 05:57 PM
jph1
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p.102 #9 · 'Unofficial' Photokina RUMOR Thread


Oops... Sorry, I meant product development roadmap. If you're ahead of your product launch roadmap you are launching products before you plan to. Sorry for the confusion.
Jim



Sep 29, 2006 at 06:19 PM
Koivulehto
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p.102 #10 · 'Unofficial' Photokina RUMOR Thread


jph1 meant to write:
Canon probably is ahead of their product development roadmap in terms of development and staging. If they move too fast, it may force the type of cut-throat competition that we saw in personal computer products. They don’t wan’t that. We (consumers) do.


I understand that you are saying that Canon wants to preserve the current prices (and their margins) by not making the competitors too desperate. If that is really the case, I think Canon has done a decent job in the low-end DSLR market.

I would bet Canon’s next product is ready for production. I wouldn’t expect to see it until we see a fall off in sales of their current offerings.

I don't think Canon's current camera product offering is superior enough to enable them to do that.

Products that are ready for production are like vegetables: They rapidly hit their best-before date if you don't deliver them to the market. This is caused by two main factors:
1. Price to manufacture: Your product is always based on the overall components, tools, methods etc. available when it was developed, and they all grow old: Components become overpriced and eventually obsolete compared to newer components, and
2. Value to customer: Your competitors have time to invent and bring into production better solutions for the end user's actual reasons to buy



Sep 29, 2006 at 11:27 PM
jph1
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p.102 #11 · 'Unofficial' Photokina RUMOR Thread


Koivulehto wrote:
I don't think Canon's current camera product offering is superior enough to enable them to do that.

I would agree on the low end. With the Pentax coming in that close to the Rebel--at least on paper--it looks like pretty tough competition. But I can't think of any real competition at the high end. No other manufacturer seems to be trying to knock off the 1dsMII.

Products that are ready for production are like vegetables: They rapidly hit their best-before date if you don't deliver them to the market. This is caused by two main factors:
1. Price to manufacture: Your
...Show morejavascript:void(0);

I agree on your first point.

On the second point: You also have time to invent. You can continue to improve a design without releasing it until needed. There is alot of resources used to release a product. Let's say Canon has already developed a 22MP chip and the development is far along for a 30MP chip with high DR. What if you released it now. Pentax comes out with a similar product. Now you have competition. You've spent the cost and disruption of a product release, so you have competition until your next product release. Or, you concentrate on continuous development and when the Pentax comes out, you have a much better product to steal it's thunder.

Now that I think of it.... the 30D didn't fit into this type of strategy

Jim



Sep 30, 2006 at 03:31 PM
KIDERAL
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p.102 #12 · 'Unofficial' Photokina RUMOR Thread


In my opinion, canon is now behind the advanced prosumer market.

If what I read is correct we have a 14mp fovean at a time when Canon barely has a 10mp..

From my point of view as an early adopter I am going to save lots of money because canon product cycles are getting longer... instead of 4k every two years, 4k every four years is fine with me...

In point and shoot I have tried different brands.. maybe it is time to try different slr's... if I do, maybe I will like it and switch lens companies... who knows.....




Sep 30, 2006 at 03:42 PM
Frank Jr.
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p.102 #13 · 'Unofficial' Photokina RUMOR Thread


Some one mentioned removable sensors on Photo Camel However, he/she did not verify his/her info. I kind of like that idea better than having the sensor shake every time I would start the camera.


Sep 30, 2006 at 04:03 PM
timbop
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p.102 #14 · 'Unofficial' Photokina RUMOR Thread


jph1 wrote:
I agree on your first point.

On the second point: You also have time to invent. You can continue to improve a design without releasing it until needed. There is alot of resources used to release a product. Let's say Canon has already developed a 22MP chip and the development is far along for a 30MP chip with high DR. What if you released it now. Pentax comes out with a similar product. Now you have competition. You've spent the cost and disruption of a product release, so you have competition until your next product release. Or, you concentrate on
...Show more

that's the same reason that Xerox sat on ethernet, the first GUI, mouse interface, etc. Notice how well Xerox cornered the market?



Sep 30, 2006 at 08:08 PM
jph1
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p.102 #15 · 'Unofficial' Photokina RUMOR Thread


Using the example of the mouse. Xerox had a bunch of stuff come out of PARC (Palo Alto Research Center I think), They never put the money into the mouse. It wasn't until Steve Jobs visited PARC, then hired an outside design firm to re-design it for PC's, did it take off. Not a matter of releasing it, Xerox didn't put the money behind it to make it a real product. Xerox didn't know what they had.

Canon should know what inventions would improve cameras. Let's hope they put the money behind it when a breakthrough comes up.
Jim





Oct 01, 2006 at 10:47 AM
Tentacle
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p.102 #16 · 'Unofficial' Photokina RUMOR Thread


Oh, looks like this topic is cut loose now, adrift in the virtual forum space.

Many thanks to all the topic regulars for the entertaining and informative discussions we've had in this particular mammoth thread

I'll stick around of course, this isn't a good-bye, but it'll be quite a while before an epic topic like this will pop up again.



Oct 01, 2006 at 02:31 PM
Philippe Arnez
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p.102 #17 · 'Unofficial' Photokina RUMOR Thread


Good-bye you beautiful thread...

On the other hand, I'll finally have time for myself again

Tentacle wrote:
[...], but it'll be quite a while before an epic topic like this will pop up again.


Let's see.... PMA starts 8th of March, this thread started about 6 weeks before the event, that makes around 25th of January, which is less than 4 month away...



Oct 01, 2006 at 03:15 PM
Tentacle
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p.102 #18 · 'Unofficial' Photokina RUMOR Thread


Philippe Arnez wrote:
Good-bye you beautiful thread...

On the other hand, I'll finally have time for myself again

Let's see.... PMA starts 8th of March, this thread started about 6 weeks before the event, that makes around 25th of January, which is less than 4 month away...


Ok, ok, I made the distinction between the mere start of a topic and it getting into the 2k post territory Of course, it will not take that long before PMA rears its head, but that in itself only hints at another big topic, there's no guarantee there.



Oct 01, 2006 at 03:22 PM
DaDane
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p.102 #19 · 'Unofficial' Photokina RUMOR Thread


So the Digic III platform is just for the G7 or have I been missing something


Oct 02, 2006 at 01:52 PM
Tentacle
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p.102 #20 · 'Unofficial' Photokina RUMOR Thread


DaDane wrote:
So the Digic III platform is just for the G7 or have I been missing something


For now, yes, but expect it to appear in the successor to the 30D. If anything, newer chip design and fabrication technology will lower costs and power consumption. That alone will make it worthwhile to put it into new generations of dSLR.



Oct 02, 2006 at 01:56 PM
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