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p.2 #3 · Will Nikon build anymore DSLR's, or are they done with DSLR's? | |
OwlsEyes wrote:
Not to argue with you Robert, but I just don't think that the numbers are on your side. The Nikon D750 may be one of the best selling Nikon FX SLRs made. This body was a mainstay of the "average" photographer (average not referring to skill). It was one of the go to wedding cameras, portrait cameras, family cameras, travel cameras, and high school sports cameras. Many photographers who make a living with their images do not buy the best bodies, as these cameras do not add a lot of value when it comes to sales. For this reason, one often sees Nikon D750s or Canon 5D3's in the typical wedding photographer bag.
I think that the Nikon D780 was a trial balloon to see if Nikon could move photographers into an upgraded, but similar camera. The D780 has all of the improvements that you are seeking in the D850. As far as I can tell, the D780 has been an extremely low selling product. Nobody talks about this camera, and camera shops have not been stocking it. It is the DSLR/MILC hybrid that some D850 shooters want in their D850, but the price to produce and release has been an obstacle to sales. The D780 is too expensive for what it is, and those looking to upgrade their D750's have chosen to go with either the Z6(I or II), or Sony A7iii/iiir/ivr.
If Nikon produces the phantom D880 and prices it with the strategy employed with the D780, you might be looking at $3500 to $4000. The base price of a D850 today is about $3000 (was about $3300), and at the time of release, it was a breakthrough camera. A D880 w/ better live view and silent shutter at $3700 is not a breakthrough camera. For that much money, one might be better off with A7Riv or Canon R5. Furthermore, the sell off of D850's at $2000 or less would require "upgraders" to spend another $1500 + to get into the camera. It is likely that most current D850 shooter would just stick it out with their D850s... heck, that's what the D750 shooters have done. What's more, I know a number of D750 shooters who have replaced their D750 with bargain priced D750's that Nikon puts on sale every 6 months.
If I were going to plunk $3500 to $4000 into a new Nikon camera, I would want it to be spent on Nikon's future... not their past.
regards,
bruce
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No problem Bruce. I know you enough that your intent is not to argue. And I always value your opinions.
I started to write a response and it began to get lengthy. And as I continued to write, I came to see no reason for it. It just goes over the same stuff again. and again...and again. I deleted it. But now I think I will say just a couple of things: The D750 customer is not the D850 customer. Several days ago, I looked at the 780 and imo (your's too I guess), it's too expensive for what it is. Regarding the D850, I can only speak for myself. I would pay top dollar for a D850 that had LiveView functions approaching what they say the Z9 will be. For me, it's all going to depend on how exciting this Z9 will be. We will see.
I wish Nikon would hurry up with this Z9. Why can't they release in the spring, not the fall!
And in the end, yes, I do still believe that Nikon is going to upgrade the 850 and possibly the 500.
Today, I lowered the canoe from the rafters and went to an estuary I've frequented over the last several years. With all the warm weather, I thought there was a good chance of seeing a few migrants. In summer months, we get a few Great Egrets and Snowy's, many Common Terns, and some Least and Roseate Terns. The tide was outgoing and I hoped to shoot terns as they dropped from a hover position, down into a tidal pool of minnows.
Still too early. None were here today. So I resorted to shooting Herring Gulls and Rock Doves (pigeons ) and I came to realize that I am tired of the blackout time between frames.
Good Light. 
Robert
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