arbitrage wrote:
I agree with most if not all of your thoughts.
I think we have all started to realize and been told that complete normalcy will not come back until there is a vaccine or herd immunity through people having recovered.
Well I can't see any scenario where a natural herd immunity will occur other than in very isolated pockets like maybe New York City or N. Italy etc. There is no way in Canada we will have a natural herd immunity happen with the amount of containment we have achieved.
Even if the actual number of infections is 100 or 1000 times the number of tested positive cases due to untested cases, that doesn't even come close to producing a natural herd immunity.
So basically a vaccine is needed and as we keep hearing that is 12-18 months out at best if even possible.
Of course the other alternative is to actually let the virus go rampant everywhere (which would be devastating and totally overwhelm healthcare no matter how good the system is). But even then they still haven't determined if recovered people have antibodies that are sufficient to protect them and if they are sufficient how long they last.
It will be interesting to see which countries seriously screw up their lifting of restrictions and cause a 2nd wave even worse than the 1st. I'm pretty sure where my bets lie on that one....Show more →
Yes it will b interesting to see how this is managed.
I don't want to tick anyone off but when I see these I often wonder about where it is coming from. PeakProsperity captured my interest. I don't know anything about MotherJones either but I couldn't find anything negative so I don't really know for sure because I don't know anything about viruses. I'm not say this fellow is not legit. I try to be careful of what I read. This still does not make me think this is not a very serious situation we are in.
“He’s not a practicing physician, he’s just a guy with a science background who’s taken an interest in this virus,” said Dr. Angela Hewlett, an infectious disease specialist at the University of Nebraska Medical Center and member of the Infectious Diseases Society of America, who clarified that she didn’t see anything in Martenson’s videos that gave her cause for concern.
brian_sp wrote:
too bad the panty wearing trudeau wouldn't do the same
Yes, he is the greatest - it's "America first" now with the number of infections and deads. Too bad, some still don't comprehend the downplay of the crisis at the start, all the denials and lies by shifting the responsibility to the WHO, EU or to whatever external institution.
arbitrage wrote:
That just kiboshed my San Juan Island Fox trip. But maybe can still do mid-May when the kits are a few weeks older. Was hoping for 1st week of May.
I have never heard of this place before. I looked it up and lots of nice fox shots, especially the one fighting the eagle. We have close friends who live in Victoria. We were planning to visit them this fall but now we aren't sure. When we get out there I'm definitely going to San Juan Island.
Zenon Char wrote:
I have never heard of this place before. I looked it up and lots of nice fox shots, especially the one fighting the eagle. We have close friends who live in Victoria. We were planning to visit them this fall but now we aren't sure. When we get out there I'm definitely going to San Juan Island.
Best fox photography for the kits is May. You can of course photograph the parents/kits interactions all summer but they are way too cute in May. Before the pandemic I was even considering trying for late April to see if I could get them when they still have the light blue eyes for the first week or so. But that is a little risky if travelling fat to get here as they likely don't come out of the dens as frequently when that young. Last year was my first time going there and I went May 3rd. A couple kits still had blue eyes but most didn't. Still they were small and cute and playful and came out a few times a day.
The ferry to San Juan leaves Sidney. Of course that ferry route is not running currently. And of course hotels are closed on the island. If you delay your visit to Victoria till next May then that would be ideal. Victoria is beautiful in May, all the spring migrants will be here by then and the foxes will be there for photography.
arbitrage wrote:
Best fox photography for the kits is May. You can of course photograph the parents/kits interactions all summer but they are way too cute in May. Before the pandemic I was even considering trying for late April to see if I could get them when they still have the light blue eyes for the first week or so. But that is a little risky if travelling fat to get here as they likely don't come out of the dens as frequently when that young. Last year was my first time going there and I went May 3rd. A couple kits still had blue eyes but most didn't. Still they were small and cute and playful and came out a few times a day.
The ferry to San Juan leaves Sidney. Of course that ferry route is not running currently. And of course hotels are closed on the island. If you delay your visit to Victoria till next May then that would be ideal. Victoria is beautiful in May, all the spring migrants will be here by then and the foxes will be there for photography....Show more →
Zenon Char wrote:
Where are the best areas to see them?
There is really just a single large field where the dens are and everyone photographs there. The problem is the place is getting busier and busier each year (except for this year) and the park rangers are having thoughts about closing the area down. However, from what I experience last year, all the serious photographers were very respectful of their distances, we all parked ourselves in one line and let the foxes do as they please, sometimes they'd wander very close, other times further away. Some casual tourists with cellphones were the only ones I noticed trying to get too close and actually following the foxes around.
arbitrage wrote:
There is really just a single large field where the dens are and everyone photographs there. The problem is the place is getting busier and busier each year (except for this year) and the park rangers are having thoughts about closing the area down. However, from what I experience last year, all the serious photographers were very respectful of their distances, we all parked ourselves in one line and let the foxes do as they please, sometimes they'd wander very close, other times further away. Some casual tourists with cellphones were the only ones I noticed trying to get too close and actually following the foxes around....Show more →
arbitrage wrote:
There is really just a single large field where the dens are and everyone photographs there. The problem is the place is getting busier and busier each year (except for this year) and the park rangers are having thoughts about closing the area down. However, from what I experience last year, all the serious photographers were very respectful of their distances, we all parked ourselves in one line and let the foxes do as they please, sometimes they'd wander very close, other times further away. Some casual tourists with cellphones were the only ones I noticed trying to get too close and actually following the foxes around....Show more →
How close from the den did you line/set-up?
Gotta love those cell phone idiots. I can't tell you how many I see every year walking up to within a few meters of a mature Bull or cow elk. I once got set-up in a stream anticipating a large bull to cross just up stream from me. He did finally cross right where I thought he would but all my shots were ruined by a moron with a cell phone walking right into my frame about 20 meters away from the bull.
lighthound wrote:
How close from the den did you line/set-up?
Gotta love those cell phone idiots. I can't tell you how many I see every year walking up to within a few meters of a mature Bull or cow elk. I once got set-up in a stream anticipating a large bull to cross just up stream from me. He did finally cross right where I thought he would but all my shots were ruined by a moron with a cell phone walking right into my frame about 20 meters away from the bull.
The rangers ask us to be 75 feet away and to just stay in one spot. Also to move further away if our presence seems to be affecting their behaviour. But the reality of it was that even the parents didn't care and were walking sometimes like 15 feet in front of our line. The kits would play all over the place.
arbitrage wrote:
The rangers ask us to be 75 feet away and to just stay in one spot. Also to move further away if our presence seems to be affecting their behaviour. But the reality of it was that even the parents didn't care and were walking sometimes like 15 feet in front of our line. The kits would play all over the place.
Wow! That's close. As long as they're cool with it and come even closer then you're golden. You lucky bast....
So all you need is a WA lens for these friendly little ones huh. To say I'm envious would be an understatement.
) and the park rangers are having thoughts about closing the area down. However, from what I experience last year, all the serious photographers were very respectful of their distances, we all parked ourselves in one line and let the foxes do as they please, sometimes they'd wander very close, other times further away. Some casual tourists with cellphones were the only ones I noticed trying to get too close and actually following the foxes around.
To say I'm envious would be an understatement.