Yohan Pamudji wrote:
Jim, I think your numbers are right on the money.
1D Mark IV - 18MP
5D Mark III (3D?) - 24MP (just enough to call it an upgrade) with 7D-ish feature set
1Ds Mark IV - 30MP at least
Canon will be busting the ceiling wide open with the res on the 1Ds Mark IV. It needs to, since it will have less and less to differentiate it from the also-FF 5D series once the 5D series gets pro-ish AF.
Could be an interesting spring. I have considered that Canon will some day merge the two 1-series bodies into one, but I don't know if that will happen this cycle or next.
Anyway, for the fun of it, I see a 1D Mk IV in February, fully beta-tested and ready for action. 18 mp 1.3X rocket. 10 fps, revamped 45-point AF scheme (tweaked to avoid the embarassment of the early 1D3 bodies), video, all the stuff on the 7D and more.
Come next fall, the 5D2 gets a tweak. Same sensor, improved (as they always say), Digic V, new AF system same as 7D and a bunch of new video options. Basically, a full-frame 7D with 4 or 5 fps. I'll call it the 5D2n.Canon will get another year or two out of this setup.
Spring 2011, 1Ds IV - 30 mpx, 5-6 fps, all the stuff on the 1D4 plus more.
Expect a new Rebel in 2 of the 3 releases, and a replacement for the 50D next spring. Something below the 7D but with more features than the 50D.