Gerry Szarek Offline Upload & Sell: Off
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timbop wrote:
Steve Torelli wrote:
I don't lend credence to rumors like this, lucky guess or not. They're wrong over and over again. But, like I said, keep guessing long enough and somebody will be right sooner or later. It's only a matter of time.
Good luck.
Fair enough - I agree that what we have seen so far is educated speculation at best. However, lots of people make tons of money based on educated speculation - not that anyone other than canon will make money on the 40D. My point is that intuition and observation are actually fairly reliable when based on historical reality. Another way to put it is that history repeats itself, and with every generation of xxd and rebel they have had the same sensor size but the AF and ISO performance of the xxd have been better. Right now the XTi has a larger sensor and the same AF of the 30D. Also historically, the non-pro DSLR's are on an 18 month cycle (as everyone knows by now) and august is the 18 month anniversary of the 30D.
So, the speculation that a 30D replacement will come out in late july or early august is more than reasonable. However, the expectation that it will be weathersealed or have an APS-H size sensor is wishful thinking.
The 40D will be a 1.6X camera, if you are lucky it will get the 5D AF system, it will have 12Mp (my best guess). A new digital rebel will come out at 8 or 10Mp for $400 or less (it will be less than the Nikon D40).
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