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Archive 2022 · Will Canon come out with a R1?

  
 
gdanmitchell
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p.2 #1 · Will Canon come out with a R1?


mcoons wrote:
My biggest concern is price. If a R3 is $6K, how much more will an R1 be? And will photographers go for a $7000+ camera these days when the R5 is so damn good at half the price?


That's exactly what I was thinking (in one context) in my earlier post. It is also part of why I doubt that it is the supposed high MP camera. The precedent is there with the 16MP (IIRC) 1Ds that was available when the 12MP 5D came out... and it seems that there were no longer enough sales of the 1Ds line to justify continuing it.

It is also important to keep in mind that there are several other alternatives for those who need (or think the need) the highest MP FF sensor body — models from Sony and Nikon and even the miniMF system from Fujifilm, which looks almost directly price competitive if the pricing on a FF body is too high. (With the latter, there are other issues, particularly related to lens availability and to camera speed.)

My guess would be that a R1 camera keeps the focus where the 1-series cameras have always been, on aspects of performance other than having the highest MP sensor. Though by the time it arrives, it should be possible to produce a very high performance camera with a 40-50MP sensor.

(BTW, I share the doubts about the 100MP sensor rumors and would not be surprised to see a high MP camera, whatever it is called, with something more like a 80MP sensor or thereabouts, a R5s, if you will.)

CelesteForza wrote:
Possible they drop price on the R3 by the time the R1 is introduced.


I wonder though. Has Canon ever reduced the list price of a high end camera after it was introduced, at least before it dying breath before being superseded by a new model years later?

I could see special sales offers maybe, but that would not likely happen until much later, as doing it while a R1 was new on the market would tend to suppress its sales.

johnvanr wrote:
I think the market has changed.


Fair point. It has changed, and back in that earlier era there was only one prior Canon model level, the 1Ds, before the 5D was introduced. Today there are quite a few FF bodies. In addition, even a "low resolution" R5 has a lot of resolution potential, being only insignificantly lower resolution that the 5DsR.

But to my way of thinking, that would make a high resolution (e.g. — the rumored 100MP) sensor even less likely in a R1 camera. A lot of folks would look at the capabilities of the R5, with quite high resolution and very good performance/speed, and find an extremely expensive 100MP R1 that probable wouldn't be any faster to be even less compelling.

So, I still feel like an R1 would more likely be the next step in the evolution of the 1-series as it moves to mirrorless. Though there's also not a ton of space above the R3 for such a camera these days either!

I guess we'll see!

EB-1 wrote:
There are numerous limitations in the R5 - some critical, some major, and some minor.
The R3 has reduced or eliminated some of them, but it's really not clear how much will be done with a Mk II vs. a 1 series. The larger 1 series body style will always have advantages in power for processors and motors, better heat dissipation and ergonomics. Obviously some people won't want to pay or have physical/weight limitations, but that is nothing new. Back in the day many people opted for the 5D or 5D II over the 1Ds II or 1Ds III.


Your point make sense, though I think it also make a lot less difference and to a smaller cohort of photographers than it did back before digital cameras had gotten to the fairly high level of development they have achieved today.

Back then it often felt more like we were looking at distinctions between "the best we can produce" and "only good enough and with significant flaws." Today it is more likely to be, in terms of real world photographic functionality, a difference between "the best we can produce" and "almost indistinguishable from the best we can produce, but in a smaller body and at a lower price."

Dan

Imagemaster wrote:
I could care less...


Yet here you are...



Jun 21, 2022 at 05:31 PM
arbitrage
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p.2 #2 · Will Canon come out with a R1?


R1 will probably come in around $7-7.5K. Which isn't too outrageous if you compare to $6500 A1 + battery grip to make it ergonomically sound.

I enjoyed using the R3 in every which way over the R5 except I did miss the MPs some of the time. I also don't really know why the R3 needed an SD card slot

Give me a higher (40-60MP) stacked sensor with dual CFexpress cards and the exact same form factor as the R3 (probably the nicest design I've ever used) and I would pay $7-7.5K for it if I was still solidly in the Canon camp. Maybe they can scrap the eye-control focus module and that touch sensitive AF-ON button to keep the cost reasonable as neither of those features did anything for me.



Jun 21, 2022 at 06:09 PM
johnvanr
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p.2 #3 · Will Canon come out with a R1?


EB-1 wrote:
There are numerous limitations in the R5 - some critical, some major, and some minor.
The R3 has reduced or eliminated some of them, but it's really not clear how much will be done with a Mk II vs. a 1 series. The larger 1 series body style will always have advantages in power for processors and motors, better heat dissipation and ergonomics. Obviously some people won't want to pay or have physical/weight limitations, but that is nothing new. Back in the day many people opted for the 5D or 5D II over the 1Ds II or 1Ds III.

EBH


Sure, but in the past my needs could only be addressed with the 1-series. That’s no longer the case for me. Of course, it differs for others.



Jun 21, 2022 at 06:52 PM
Imagemaster
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p.2 #4 · Will Canon come out with a R1?


gdanmitchell wrote:
Yet here you are...


So what? At least I don't need to spew several hundred words about a future camera coming along, just like has always happened over the last century and will continue to happen.

It will have this or that, it won't have this or that, some will be happy, some will be disgruntled. Blah, blah. Happier?



Jun 21, 2022 at 07:01 PM
jedibrain
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p.2 #5 · Will Canon come out with a R1?


johnvanr wrote:
Sure, but in the past my needs could only be addressed with the 1-series. That’s no longer the case for me. Of course, it differs for others.


To your point, the R6 currently performs a lot like the 1DXIII for stills, at a fraction of the cost. I often wonder if an R5mkII had a stacked BSI sensor and effectively eliminated the only real drawback (rolling shutter) - what could a 1 series offer me that really made a difference for the extra money?


Brian



Jun 21, 2022 at 07:29 PM
Al Goldis
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p.2 #6 · Will Canon come out with a R1?


gdanmitchell wrote:
One thing that perplexes me about. some of the R1 talk is that traditionally the "1" designation (at least since the demise of the 1-Ds cameras) has been for a lower MP body that is designed for ruggedness and speed of operation... not one designed for a very high sensor resolution.


I have wondered if the R3 was originally intended to be the "R1" until Canon saw Sony's A1 and said wait a minute... new plan.

If so, I think that also gave them the opportunity to overprice the R3 while they develop the R1.

Also, to point out the obvious, the 1DX is the point where Canon dropped the high resolution 1Ds and moved the high-res sensor to the 5 line.



Jun 21, 2022 at 09:52 PM
gdanmitchell
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p.2 #7 · Will Canon come out with a R1?


Al Goldis wrote:
I have wondered if the R3 was originally intended to be the "R1" until Canon saw Sony's A1 and said wait a minute... new plan.

If so, I think that also gave them the opportunity to overprice the R3 while they develop the R1.

Also, to point out the obvious, the 1DX is the point where Canon dropped the high resolution 1Ds and moved the high-res sensor to the 5 line.


Interesting thought about the R3. If they are "overpricing" the R3 right now, I wonder what would happen to the R3 with the introduction of a R1? (Again, I'm not aware of a case where Canon has lowered the list price of a camera during the regular part of its life cycle.

We're on the same page about the coordination with the introduction and success of the 5D line. I interpret it as the 1DsIII being the point where they gave in and no longer put the higher density sensor in the 1-series. But from a slightly different perspective, it was the 1Dx that (finally!) marked their clear commitment to making the 5-series the high-res cameras and the 1-series that beefy, performance cameras.

I had to go back and look at the actual timeline for the introduction of these cameras. There was a lot that I had forgotten about specific models and timing:

2002 1Ds (11MP+)

20041Ds II (16MP)
2005 5D (12MP)

20071DsIII (21MP)

2008 5DII(21MP)

2012 1Dx (18MP)
2012 5DIII (22MP)

2015 5Ds/5DsR ( 50MP)

2016 1DxII (20MP)
2016 5DIV (30MP)

2020 1DxIII (20MP)

So, it looks like the 1Ds models tended to come out one year before the 5D models early on, though later they seemed to come out in the same calendar years.

The 16MP 1DsII was close to contemporaneous with the 12MP 5D.

The 21MP 1DsIII came just before the 21MP 5DII.

Then the 1D drought occurred and it wasn't until 2012 that the 1Dx was introduced with 18MP. I remember two things about that time. A lot of people wondered if Cannon would ever get around to updating the 1D-series, and when they did come out with the 1Dx they marketed it as a camera that did what both of the previous forks (1D and 1Ds) did in a single camera — high resolution and speed. But the reality didn't match that claim, as lots of us noted at the time. That was pure marketing-speak, and a way to attempt to address the questions about what happened to the 1Ds models.

The 1DsII had higher resolution than the roughly contemporary 5D
The 1DsIII had the same resolution as the roughly contemporary 5DII

The 1Dx had lower resolution than the 1DsIII and the 5DII/III. From this point on, the 1-series bodies always had lower resolution.

The highest resolution camera (5Ds/5DsR) never had anything close to a near analog in the 1-series. The 5DIV got 30MP.

The 1DxIII only marginally increased resolution.

So I think it was likely during the 1DsIII and 5DII era when the writing was on the wall about super-expensive high resolution bodies — most (though likely not all) buyers looking for such a camera felt that the 5-series cameras did what they wanted and at a lower price point.

So, in a sense, the R1 question _might_ be whether it is a camera that tries to bring buyers of high resolution cameras back into the 1-series fold or if it is a logical extension of the 1Dx into the mirrorless domain. I'm betting on the latter.

And thanks for provoking me to take a minor dive back into this bit of Canon history, many parts of which I had not accurately remembered.

Dan























Imagemaster wrote:
So what? At least I blah, blah, blah...

It will have this or that... Blah, blah...


As someone wrote earlier in this thread...

Imagemaster wrote:
I could care less...


;-)

Edited on Jun 21, 2022 at 11:04 PM · View previous versions



Jun 21, 2022 at 10:21 PM
bobbytan
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p.2 #8 · Will Canon come out with a R1?


If Canon meant for the R3 to be the R1 they would have called it the R1.

Al Goldis wrote:
I have wondered if the R3 was originally intended to be the "R1" until Canon saw Sony's A1 and said wait a minute... new plan.

If so, I think that also gave them the opportunity to overprice the R3 while they develop the R1.

Also, to point out the obvious, the 1DX is the point where Canon dropped the high resolution 1Ds and moved the high-res sensor to the 5 line.





Jun 21, 2022 at 10:31 PM
EB-1
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p.2 #9 · Will Canon come out with a R1?


Al Goldis wrote:
Also, to point out the obvious, the 1DX is the point where Canon dropped the high resolution 1Ds and moved the high-res sensor to the 5 line.


Not exactly. Canon made some lame excuse that the 1Dx replaced the 1Ds III as well as the 1D IV, yet it didn't really properly replace either. The 5DsR was three years after the 1Dx and 5D III.

EBH



Jun 21, 2022 at 10:34 PM
Al Goldis
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p.2 #10 · Will Canon come out with a R1?


EB-1 wrote:
Not exactly. Canon made some lame excuse that the 1Dx replaced the 1Ds III as well as the 1D IV, yet it didn't really properly replace either. The 5DsR was three years after the 1Dx and 5D III.

EBH


But I think the 1DX and 5DIII is where the divergence actually happened since there was no 1DXs and the 5DIII had higher resolution than the X.



Jun 22, 2022 at 06:39 PM
arbitrage
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p.2 #11 · Will Canon come out with a R1?


gdanmitchell wrote:
So, in a sense, the R1 question _might_ be whether it is a camera that tries to bring buyers of high resolution cameras back into the 1-series fold or if it is a logical extension of the 1Dx into the mirrorless domain. I'm betting on the latter.


I just don't see the R1 being a continuation of the "lower" MP 1DX line because the R3 seems to already be just that. The only spec on the R3 that I would say is a bit of a downgrade from the 1DX lineage is the mixed card slots. But then again 1DXII had mixed slots (C-fast and CF). Other than that the R3 is a perfect continuation of the 1DXIII into the RF mount.

Therefore, I can only see the R1 being a higher MP camera with all the R3 goodies and some extras on top like dual CFexpress slots and maybe Quad-Pixel AF.

Having the R1 come out with a 20 something MP sensor and sit next to the R3 in the lineup doesn't give much room for R1 differentiation. I guess they could way up the FPS, add the 2nd CFexpress slot, give it QPAF and try to differentiate it that way. But then I'd just say they should kill the R3 at that point.

The market has changed and Canon's two biggest competitors are using 45-50MP sensors at up to 30FPS in their flagship cameras. I think Canon needs to make something similar and the R1 makes sense to be that camera.

Canon then can still sell the R3 which would compete more with the Sony A9 series (especially if Sony does an A9III and keeps it at 24MPs as the rumors have been saying) at a lower price point than the R1/A1.



Jun 23, 2022 at 08:12 AM
Methodical
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p.2 #12 · Will Canon come out with a R1?


jedibrain wrote:
Certainly they will. Probably next year.

How might it exceed the R3? Pure speculation, but I'd guess...

- 40+ MP (I'd guess 45-60mp)
- same 30fps, possibly a higher burst mode in JPG like the Z9
- Quad Pixel AF
- 2 CFEx card slots
- return of the direct print button

I'm debating - I really have no need for one but I've always wanted a 1 series. And its possible this one could be spec'd such that its the last camera I'd ever need. Maybe it'll be a mid-life crisis gift to myself. But I'll have to see where the cost lands. I
...Show more

Knowing Canon, who don't do things based on what others do or think should be done, I predict the cost of the camera will be around $8k. The R3 is $6k so I don't see how the R1 will be the same price. If so, there will be many hot R3 owners. Believe me there will be more than enough of them out there that will pay the $8k. They will complain about the price while punching in their credit card number.




Jun 23, 2022 at 11:06 AM
TeamSpeed
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p.2 #13 · Will Canon come out with a R1?


And also there is room for an R2 (or would it be an R8) APS-C 30-36Mpx for around $2500-3000 I think, especially depending on which sensor would be utilized.

I would have a hard time turning that down. I would only wish it was more of an APS-H and not APS-C. I loved the APS-H line, it was a good medium between resolution and reach in a pro body.



Jun 23, 2022 at 11:43 AM
jedibrain
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p.2 #14 · Will Canon come out with a R1?


Methodical wrote:
Knowing Canon, who don't do things based on what others do or think should be done, I predict the cost of the camera will be around $8k. The R3 is $6k so I don't see how the R1 will be the same price. If so, there will be many hot R3 owners. Believe me there will be more than enough of them out there that will pay the $8k. They will complain about the price while punching in their credit card number.



I would think $6500 like the 1DxIII is the floor for pricing, and $7k likely. If we really don't see it until next year, rumor is the A1 2 will be out by then. And while grip-less it will be in that price range. And the Z9 at its amazing price is another factor, though probably not much of one to Canon, for buyers to consider.

An R1 at $6500 probably means the discontinuation of the R3. The question is will they replace it? I'm not so sure they will. If they did, it could come back at a price point of $5500, sitting more comfortably between the R5 and R1, with some feature changes to explain the price difference.



Jun 23, 2022 at 01:04 PM
Imagemaster
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p.2 #15 · Will Canon come out with a R1?


Will Canon come out with a R1?

They will come out with a camera that is better than the R3 & R5 combined. What the name of it will be is of no importance as to how it will perform. The price will be higher than any other Canon model. What more do you need to know?

I am pretty sure most of us posting here, as well as Canon engineers, are well aware of Canon's history of the cameras they have brought out in the last decade.

In the meantime we will just have to suffer with the inferior Canon gear we have at the moment. The big question is how many months or years will we have to continue this speculation?




Jun 23, 2022 at 01:30 PM
gdanmitchell
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p.2 #16 · Will Canon come out with a R1?


arbitrage wrote:
I just don't see the R1 being a continuation of the "lower" MP 1DX line because the R3 seems to already be just that. The only spec on the R3 that I would say is a bit of a downgrade from the 1DX lineage is the mixed card slots. But then again 1DXII had mixed slots (C-fast and CF). Other than that the R3 is a perfect continuation of the 1DXIII into the RF mount.

Therefore, I can only see the R1 being a higher MP camera with all the R3 goodies and some extras on top like dual CFexpress slots
...Show more

Since we're playing "Read Canon's Collective Mind," how about this option?

Let's say that the R1 combines the speed and flexibility of the lower-res 1DxIII and the R3 cameras with the 40-50 MP sensor of the R5, and puts it in a bigger body in the lineage of (though not quite as large as) the older 1-series bodies.

By the time such a thing comes out, it should be possible to get a higher MP sensor like that to perform at a very high level for tasks that don't traditionally necessarily require that. In a sense this would finally _actually_ be what Canon claimed the 1Dx was — a single 1-series (e.g. R1) body that has quite high resolution and speed.

So, it would not be just a more expensive R3 nor would it be the rumored super-high MP camera... but a 40-50MP sensor would be plenty high resolution for just about anyone, and it could be a single "does it all" high end camera.

What about that rumored high MP body, then? How about sticking with the previous scheme and introducing a high resolution 5-series camera as, for example, the R5s? I think that the R5 price point is more where the market is for such a thing. Pricing the high-MP body at the highest price point (in a theoretical R1) doesn't seem like a successful strategy, especially when the DSLR to mirrorless transition is still arguably underway and those using high MP cameras (like me!) who are not invested in RF lenses would likely consider high MP options from other manufacturers.

The standard" thinking out loud" disclaimer applies. As does the "I know Canon will do whatever Canon will do and what I think doesn't matter to them" disclaimer. ;-)

Dan



Jun 23, 2022 at 01:35 PM
TeamSpeed
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p.2 #17 · Will Canon come out with a R1?


There are several different rumors still abounding even just within a month ago about a high resolution landscape shooter's FF Canon body. I suspect it won't have all the cool AF and burst rates of the R5/R3/R6/R7, because we know Canon plays the feature game very well, and if you are a hybrid landscape shooter and action/wildlife shooter, they want you to buy two cameras.

But it is definitely coming. It may just be the R5S, like the rumors say, and not a 1D style body though? There might be both an R1 and R5S, with a mix of features on and off, as Canon likes to do. Who knows, but we can be certain there will be something > 45Mpx of the R5 announced this year.




Jun 23, 2022 at 03:03 PM
arbitrage
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p.2 #18 · Will Canon come out with a R1?


gdanmitchell wrote:
Since we're playing "Read Canon's Collective Mind," how about this option?

Let's say that the R1 combines the speed and flexibility of the lower-res 1DxIII and the R3 cameras with the 40-50 MP sensor of the R5, and puts it in a bigger body in the lineage of (though not quite as large as) the older 1-series bodies.

By the time such a thing comes out, it should be possible to get a higher MP sensor like that to perform at a very high level for tasks that don't traditionally necessarily require that. In a sense this would finally _actually_ be what
...Show more

Yeah okay....that is exactly what I said it would be in the post you quoted....a 40-50MP body to compete with A1/Z9. That is basically what everyone I know is guessing it will be.

I don't know if you've shot the R3 but that has to be the nicest sized, integrated grip camera I've used since the 1DIV. And it is much better ergo than the 1DIV. I see no reason to make the body any larger than the R3. Just upgrade the card slots and the rest will be the sensor and FW. There is no point to make a larger body than the R3. It is as close to perfect as I've ever used (and I've used a lot of gripped bodies and bodies with grips).

Super high MP like 70+ will come in an R5 type body.



Jun 23, 2022 at 05:25 PM
jedibrain
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p.2 #19 · Will Canon come out with a R1?


arbitrage wrote:
Yeah okay....that is exactly what I said it would be in the post you quoted....a 40-50MP body to compete with A1/Z9. That is basically what everyone I know is guessing it will be.

I don't know if you've shot the R3 but that has to be the nicest sized, integrated grip camera I've used since the 1DIV. And it is much better ergo than the 1DIV. I see no reason to make the body any larger than the R3. Just upgrade the card slots and the rest will be the sensor and FW. There is no point to make a larger
...Show more

I've only handled an R3 once, but I totally agree on it size. It is amazing. The 1D series always felt too big to me. R3 is perfect. I hope that's the new norm for Canon integrated grip bodies as well, assuming I ever get my hands on one!

Brian



Jun 23, 2022 at 06:24 PM
Al Goldis
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p.2 #20 · Will Canon come out with a R1?


Just a silly idea...
Canon could make the R1 with a 48MP sensor that incorporates some kind of pixel combining technology to make 24MP images, both in raw and jpeg, that are even cleaner. I think most sports shooters don't necessarily want 48MP images at 30fps most of the time and 24MP is about the right size for high-volume sports.

Obviously, it would be easier to just have a simple medium resolution that is 24MP without the gimmick, but what the heck--throw in a gimmick or two. The R5 produces really nice 22.5MP files at medium resolution, but only in jpeg. (On the other hand, medium resolution files from a lower res sensor like that in the R6 or R3--10MP or 12MP files--aren't really of much use.)



Jun 23, 2022 at 07:36 PM
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