So, we all have seen much about the 5DmkII pricing. I don't want to go there. I am curious about what will happen to the 1DmkII, mkIIn and mkIII if a mkIIIn or MkIV is released in the next six months. The III is going for $3300-$3500 used - If canon replaces it (and makes it 'whole' again), what happens to the III? Will we see MKIINs for sub 2000$ in 2009? That would be tempting indeed.

Now step back one step and consider this question - can canon not do something (anything) to fix the mkIII in the minds and hearts of it's customer base? Whether it be an 'n' a IV, they can't possibly wait years can they?

No question about Ns. They will go to the sub 2Ks in 2009

And MkIIIs will go sub 3k in 2009 if some refresh or new version is introduced this year.

It depends how well the new cameras work. The 1D2 series initially dropped in value and then picked up a bit as people realised the 1D3 had serious poblems. My guess is that unless the 1D3 is well and truly fixed then it will have a value close to that of the 1D2N once it has been superceded. i.e. it will drop in value faster than the 1D2N did. However, such things will not affect Canon at all. They'll sell bundles of 1D4s if they actually work properly from day 1 and if they introduce some Nikon features. Price competition with Nikon amongst the new models will further drop the 1D3 prices.

- Alan

I guess you guys havent seen the mk III's going for under 3g already huh? Ive seen brand new grey III's for a little over $3500. Of course there are still those trying hard to get $3500 for a used one... I doubt they are having much luck.

T.K. wrote:
I guess you guys havent seen the mk III's going for under 3g already huh? Ive seen brand new grey III's for a little over $3500. Of course there are still those trying hard to get $3500 for a used one... I doubt they are having much luck.

Right on, I have a buddy with an early MIII and he is trying to sell it for 3500 but no takers. I'm lucky to get a post blue dot and AF works great, no issues. But when I go to sell it in 2 years what will it be worth?! Not much I fear.

After 2 years of use I was able to sell my 1D MIIN for 80% of what I paid. That's how it should be!

eric, my observation with the lower end of the line (nnnD, nnD) is an economic half life of 2 years!

Cameras selling for 50% of new after 2 years, 33% of new after 3 years, 25% of new after 4 years.

It would be interesting to see of that same half life applies to the top end, too!