Steve Spencer
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 p.8 #6 · 'Un-Official' pre-PMA Rumor Thread | |
Given Geoff's comments and the need to be competitive let me suggest the following guesses about what cameras Canon may role out and when:
2007 PMA:
1DMKIII - at least 12 megapixel APS-H, 10 frames per second, bigger buffer, much better battery, Digic III lots of small improvements.
40D - 10 megapixel APS-C, at least 15 point autofocus with better spot metering, bigger buffer, Digic III, anti-dust, etc.
5D price cut to about $2,300 or $2,400
June, 2007 (maybe a low level consumer DSLR to be better than D40 and anything Sony offers)
Fall 2007:
1DSMKIII - 22 megapixel full frame, 7 frames per second, huge buffer, Digic III, much better battery, lots of small improvements.
New body (maybe 3D?) - better body build but still smaller form factor than ID (partial weather sealing?) 10 megapixel APS-H, 7 frames per second, 20 to 25 point autofocus, excellent spot metering, big buffer, Digic III. Price: $1,600. It will be positioned to be clearly better than the D200 (and hopefully its successor)
2008 PMA:
5DII - 16 megapixel full frame, 5 frames per second, bigger buffer, Digic III - price still Drops to $2,000 to $2,200
June 2008 - likely a 450D and exactly configuration is likely to be highly dependent on competition
2008 Photokina -
50D - at least 10 megapixel APH-S, 5 frames per second, slightly better autofocus, and other small improvements
November - likely a revision of ultra low cost consumer camera if Canon decides to compete in this market
2009 PMA -
3D (mkII?) - 16 megapixel full frame, 7 frames per second, Digic IV?, other stuff not yet thought about. 5D is phased out
1D MkIV - fovean sensor? - really hard to predict here
Fall 2009
1Ds MkIV - fovean sensor? maybe 22 megapixel full frame? - who knows
2010 PMA
60D becomes full frame
Of course this gets sketchy as it gets further out, but the basic premise is that Canon will have 2 consumer, 2 prosumer, and 2 pro cameras. At the consumer and prosumer level they will try to position them so that they have a model that is cheaper than their competitors (typically by $200 to $250) that they can credibly argue is equivalent to the higher priced competition, and that they will have a model that is $200 to $250 more than the competition that they can credibly argue is considerably better than the slightly lower priced competition. The pro cameras also need to stay well ahead of the prosumer cameras. These principles seem likely to drive any reasonable upgrade path.
Edit: sorry I had the dates all screwed up.
Edited by Steve Spencer on Jan 17, 2007 at 11:39 AM GMT
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