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Speculative future Nikkors chat

  
 
shinyobject
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p.1 #1 · Speculative future Nikkors chat


Hi all, as I try to justify saving up for a new lens — maybe the 85/1.8 S — I thought it’d be fun to consider a few questions about Nikon’s lens range. I’m sure some are old hat. In no particular order:

1) Apparently an 85/1.4 might be on the way. I can see the appeal of a cheaper, less-corrected lens for portraiture, but having lived the Fuji 56/1.2 life (and it is a nice lens for sure, and a focal length I like very much), I’m ready for some optical correction. Or might Fuji surprise us and position it between the F1.8 and F1.2 lenses in price?

2) Nikon has neglected the 28mm focal length a little: there are 1.8S primes at 20, 24, and 35 mm, not to mention the F1.4 and F1.2 options at 35 mm, and the 28 mm focal length is served by the cheaper 28/2.8 lens. Surely there is an appetite for at least a 28/1.8 S lens.

3) Nikon’s 58/1.4 for F mount was a cult favourite for portraiture. The Z mount prime in that focal length is a halo lens and very expensive. What are the chances of an 56/1.4 coming out?

4) On the topic of the Noct, Nikon has some nice manual focus aids in its cameras and Cosina Voigtländer makes a business creating and selling manual lenses for Z mount (and others). Will Nikon be tempted to create a range of manual focus lenses? They certainly don’t seem afraid of producing many autofocus primes of the same focal length already, so what’s one more? (And could there be any integrations with possible film-focused bodies being released in the future?)

5) Nikon’s latest 70-200/2.8 was a triumph of weight-saving. Will Nikon replace other lenses in its range with smaller, lighter versions?

6) If Nikon were to release another statement lens with no equivalent in other camera systems to generate excitement about the Z mount, what could it be? A 35 mm Noct, perhaps?



Aug 09, 2026 at 03:18 AM
Vento
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p.1 #2 · Speculative future Nikkors chat


You'd have to ask Nikon those questions; without inside information, all we can do is speculate and guess at the probabilities.

1) A Z 85/1.4 non-S version, as a complement to the Z 35/1.4 and Z 50/1.4, seems likely.
It’s one of the few lenses that has been the subject of rumors for quite some time.

2) Sooner or later, they’ll certainly offer a faster 28mm S-line lens, though I’d expect that to happen over a longer timeframe.
I’m also not sure if it would be a Z 28/1.8 S.
If that were the intention, they could have introduced it alongside the other f/1.8 S lenses.
So it’s possible they’re saving this slot for something special.
28mm is a wonderful focal length for environmental portraits; maybe Nikon will release something like a successor to the 28/1.4.
But that’s just speculation.

3) I think that's pretty unlikely right now; I think the standard focal length range is well covered—the Z 50/1.2 S basically fills that niche.
That said, there's also the Noct in 58mm.

4) A range? No, I just can't imagine that, no matter how hard I try.
Maybe at some point there could be another feasibility study—like the Z Noct with manual focus in a different focal length—but definitely not a series of manual-focus lenses.
There is a wide selection of very high-quality, licensed manual-focus lenses available here from Cosina, including the Z-mount Voigtlander lenses and the Z-mount Zeiss ML Otus series.
In addition, there are plenty of unlicensed, non-CPU third-party manual-focus lenses for the Z-mount.

5) That's safe to assume, but it's not something that happens overnight.

6) I have no idea.
That said, I don’t currently see the need for a lens as exotic and limited in production volume as the Z-Noct.
I think Nikon would be wise to focus on other areas, especially since they apparently want to be active in the cine lens market as well.






Aug 09, 2026 at 03:05 PM
fjablo
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p.1 #3 · Speculative future Nikkors chat


I think most likely next lenses are:
100-400mm II
85mm f1.4
14-24mm II (though not sure how to improve it really..)

I‘d love a reimagination of the 58mm f1.4 in Z-mount - optimized for portraits over ultimate sharpness (which btw the 50mm f1.2 and 35mm f1.2 are too, even though they’re plenty sharp). Maybe make it a named prime like the Plena - not Noct though, that would require a completely different set of corrections. And make it quite compact, similar to the new SL Summilux 50mm f1.4.

Extremely unlikely but a „classic“ line that builds on some of their legacy lenses like the 105mm f2.5 would be amazing, too. I think would make the most sense with autofocus though, to widen the target audience. And it’s still so niche, I don’t think they’ll ever do it..



Aug 10, 2026 at 01:33 AM
mklass
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p.1 #4 · Speculative future Nikkors chat


Nikon is so slow in creating new lenses and still so far from their F-mount offerings.

1 - A small, light Z 70-300mm f/4-5.6 VR would be most welcome, but I suspect their lens designers will insist that f/6.3 or 6.7 is good enough. They seem to only think about AF capability, and don't care a wit about DoF. I realize there is the Tamron Z 70-300, but is is an unambitious lens with no image stabilization, and I think relying in IBIS at 300mm is not a good idea,
2 - A Z mount fisheye is long overdue.
3 - A Z mount 180 or 200mm f/2 or 2.8 1:1 macro.
4 - If they are planning a "Pro" grade Z DX camera, they will need a fleet of new DX lenses to support it. The current Z DX Nikkors are mostly slow, almost toy lenses.
I expect none of this to actually happen. These aren't the kind of high-end lenses which Nikon seems to be betting their future on.

Edited on Aug 11, 2026 at 11:16 PM · View previous versions



Aug 10, 2026 at 02:17 AM
pesto
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p.1 #5 · Speculative future Nikkors chat


Re question #6: I would love to see something in the range of a 200mm, f/~3.5-4, macro lens capable of 1:1 reproduction and accepting teleconverters.


Aug 10, 2026 at 12:03 PM
loganme
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p.1 #6 · Speculative future Nikkors chat


A 28mm S lens would tempt me. An homage to the 105mm f2.5 with AF in the S line would be amazing as well.


Aug 21, 2026 at 09:54 PM
Lee Saxon
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p.1 #7 · Speculative future Nikkors chat


fjablo wrote:
And make it quite compact, similar to the new SL Summilux 50mm f1.4.


Depends what we see when reviewers get ahold of that lens, particularly with regard to how much digital nonsense it ends up requiring. I know the switch to VCM and the fact that it's targeting a less "clinical" wide open performance level contribute a lot to the size shrink, but I'm worried it's nonetheless a little too good to be true. I know everybody's doing in-camera digital corrections these days, but there's "needs some vignetting compensation and a -2% to barrel distortion" and then there's "the Q lens doesn't even cover the friggin' sensor". I wouldn't want to see Nikon getting into the latter nonsense.



Aug 22, 2026 at 05:48 AM
Ripolini
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p.1 #8 · Speculative future Nikkors chat


All this chatting about future gear demonstrates why Fujifilm is now the third-largest camera maker in Japan, pushing Nikon down to fourth place.
There isn’t an APS-C product line worthy of the name (they just cobble together old stuff and have NEVER developed quality DX lenses—just cheap plastic lenses for weekend photographers who realize it’s more convenient to use a cell phone); there’s a lack of FX Z-mount lenses, as demonstrated by the posts from friends who’ve commented before me. There’s a lack of lightweight FX bodies, which both Sony (A7C and subsequent models) and Canon (R8) offer.
Just today, I searched with Claude to see where I could buy the AF-S ED 70-300/4.5-5.6E VR for FX in Italy (to pair with my 70-200/4 VR when I want to travel lighter and still have an extra 100 mm). Nowhere to be found. Damn it! So just make the equivalent for the Z-mount! But does it really cost that much? Oh, there’s the Tamron—slower and without VR. Great.
There are dozens of examples like this (there’s no 28/1.4 that could take advantage of the much-touted short distance between the mount and the sensor to be lighter and better than the AF-S F-mount, a “serious” 85/1.4 that doesn’t weigh a ton like the 1.2, a macro longer than the 105, which, by the way, more than halves its focal length at 1:1 and doesn’t even accept teleconverters... and I’ll stop there or I’ll start getting vulgar).
Ah, but Nikon makes the 600/6.3 PF and the 800/6.3… congratulations!
I’ve invested too much in Nikon gear over the last few decades, and I don’t think I’ll be switching brands.
But if a friend asked me today where to go to build a kit, well, I certainly couldn’t recommend Nikon.



Aug 22, 2026 at 07:49 AM
EB-1
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p.1 #9 · Speculative future Nikkors chat


If you like the small, fast primes then other systems might make sense, but realistically there are many Nikon users here wanting a few more primes to add to their systems. I don't think Nikon should put too much effort into the exotics though with the other problems they have.

Sure Nikon could use new bodies and lenses, but Fuji X is not such an answer for many things. The puny APS-C is good for some, but not nearly all users. 35mm is such a classic size due to the unique intersection of IQ, DOF, and practicality. Nikon is really good for action. Fuji is also doing nothing new lately and has one camera with a fast sensor and all kinds of other limitations. I looked at the options simply to replace the D500 and it was not good.
Fuji have no big teles so you almost never seem them in a sports setting. It's always, Nikon, Sony, Canon.

EBH



Aug 22, 2026 at 08:32 AM
Ripolini
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p.1 #10 · Speculative future Nikkors chat


So what? Canon, Sony, and Nikon (the order of the brands isn’t random...) make good telephoto lenses—the kind we see on the sidelines of sports fields. Nevertheless, Nikon has been surpassed by Fuji. I’m not particularly interested in Fuji, because I don’t want to invest in another brand. The fact remains that they’re doing better than Nikon if the data circulating online is accurate.
In the ’80s and ’90s, Canon was the leader in the telephoto lens sector; Canon made long fluorite telephoto lenses (they’d started in 1969 with the 300/5.6, then the pro FD 500/4.5L was introduced in 1979), both optical quality and AF (EF mount dates back to 1987) were superior, and still remain top notch today. Nikon’s first fluorite telephoto lenses came out practically just the other day (in 2013). And on the sidelines of sports fields, we also see Sony telephoto lenses—a company that was making the PlayStation when Canon and Nikon dominated the world of photography.
They have more than one problem in Tokyo, and this isn’t just my personal opinion. The facts speak for themselves.



Aug 22, 2026 at 08:57 AM
 


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Vento
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p.1 #11 · Speculative future Nikkors chat


Nikon needs new, innovative products to remain attractive.
Its recent output has been unsatisfactory, both in terms of cameras and lenses.
A new flagship model with a new SoC/Expeed8 is long overdue, and they’ve been holding back on lenses for a while now, which doesn’t make the system any more attractive in comparison.

Sure, there are always cycles and phases—things could look different again next year with Nikon’s new releases.
But right now, Nikon is generally lagging behind, while its competitor Sony is releasing one new camera after another and leading the way in innovation, whether it’s global shutter, DGO, or new sensor solutions.

The release of new Z lenses has also noticeably slowed down recently.
Nikon definitely needs to step on the gas a bit more.
Back in 2023, there was still a steady stream of new lenses, including the Z 180-600/5.6-6.3 VR, Z 600/6.3 VR S, Z 135/1.8 S Plena, Z 85/1.2 S, Z 70-180/2.8, and Z 26/2.8.

In 2024, however, only the two non-S primes—the Z 35/1.4 and Z 50/1.4—were released, and they didn’t exactly set the world on fire.
Other than that, there was only the Z 28-400mm/4-8 VR, which undoubtedly benefited the system as an option.
In 2025, again, there were only three FX Z-mount lenses: the Z 35/1.2 S and the V2 version of the Z 28-70/2.8 S; otherwise, just the Z 28-135mm f/4 PZ.
So far in 2026, the lineup has also been very sparse: the Z 24-105mm f/4-7.1 and the V2 version of the Z 70-200/2.8 VR S—that’s it.

I’m hoping this is just a brief breather, especially since the lineup of FX lenses is, of course, relatively extensive by now.
But it feels like they’ve lost some ground, as the competition—in the form of Sony—is not only catching up in the area of wildlife and sports telephoto solutions but is also setting new standards there.
In an area where Nikon was still clearly ahead just 2–3 years ago, Sony is now closing the gaps with the 300/2.8, 100-400/4.5, plus the rumored 400/4.5 and 600/6.3, along with a budget 100-400/4-8—whereas Nikon seems to have taken its foot off the gas over the last 2–3 years and hasn’t addressed some of its own gaps.

Personally, I don’t even have a problem with that—I have everything I need and I'm happy with it.
But I'm also one of those users who, once they've made a significant investment in equipment, are set for years to come.
So I'm more in the category of people who use their devices for a long time and don't upgrade with every new generation by any means.
From that perspective, Nikon’s current approach—with longer model cycles and exemplary model updates via firmware and retroactive features—suits me perfectly.
The price pressure on models that are no longer brand-new also worked in my favor personally.

A new Sony A1 costs 2,000 euros more than a new Z8, and an new A1II costs a full 4,000 euros more—more than double the price.
So, if I were faced with the decision to invest in a MILC again today, nothing would change for me, Nikkor Z-lenses & Nikon Z8.
The Z8 is and was unbeatably affordable for its performance class with a fully stacked 45MP sensor, a price at which, with Sony, you’d get at most an A7V.

The only question is whether Nikon makes the most money this way.
For Nikon as a company, it’s important to finally catch up in this area.
They need to launch the Expeed8 Gen and pick up the pace with lenses.

Sure, the two redesigned “V2 holy trinity” zooms are very nice, but what’s come out over the last two years is simply too little in comparison.
That leaves them with nothing but the distant third or fourth spot and the need to sell their own cameras fairly soon after its release based on aggressive pricing.
Not the best conditions for a company aiming to establish itself as strongly as possible in the high-end segment.



Aug 22, 2026 at 10:11 AM
Sorrymanagement
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p.1 #12 · Speculative future Nikkors chat


This 100%.

I am hopeful that Nikon will say all steam ahead next year because it doesn't seem like they are doing anything this year. I was watching Brandon Talbot and from what he said, every update, every lens release is being held for now. That was the subtext anyway.

We need better lenses in every category and that includes the vintage part(for ZF and future releases), competitive lenses filing the gaps and more innovative lenses like the 50-150 f2,28-70 f2.
Nikon is not making a dent anymore and they are not able to attract Sony and Canon users. Not allowing Sigma is killing them too.

Granted a bunch of Fuji sales come from the Instax cameras but it's still concerning to see Nikon get dropped from 3rd spot.
Nikon should be aiming for around 15% market share in the next 3-4 years and tbh, they had enough momentum to get that going specially with RED and cine lenses and having better priced telephoto lenses.



Aug 22, 2026 at 10:36 AM
Keith B.
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p.1 #13 · Speculative future Nikkors chat


I think it's clear that Nikon is now too small to compete with Canon and Sony in terms of new product rollouts. Everything Nikon makes is excellent, but those photographers that need or want the vast selection of lens choices that were once Nikon's undisputed calling card are forced to look elsewhere.


Aug 22, 2026 at 01:14 PM
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p.1 #14 · Speculative future Nikkors chat


Nikon lives in the FF space alltogether with Sony, and at the mercy of Sony regarding sensors.
To me, it doesn't matter how much effort and money Nikon invests into r&d, it will always be a follower, and that takes toll.



Aug 22, 2026 at 05:19 PM
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p.1 #15 · Speculative future Nikkors chat


Lots of good thoughts here. I agree that Nikon’s cameras are reasonably priced — it was my reason for jumping to a Z5II when it was on special.

To me I would think that if Nikon is so dependent on Sony that it is the lenses that it has to use to compete. The only explanation I can give for the lack of exciting news in this area (which is what is needed — people buy on feelings as much as anything else) is that there are severe technical or logistical difficulties.

Would opening up the mount to more manufacturers help, like Sony? Maybe, but Nikon would have to charge more per camera to make up for the lost lens revenue.

Speaking as a Fuji shooter as well, it’s not entirely rosy in Fuji land: they haven’t released much lately either.



Aug 22, 2026 at 05:34 PM
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p.1 #16 · Speculative future Nikkors chat


Nikon is currently expanding its lens factory footprint in Japan. The two new facilities they are building will be coming online next year in the summer. Construction began in January of this year. I would bet things will pick up after that. The more specialty lenses have been made in Japan in the past.


Aug 22, 2026 at 06:40 PM
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p.1 #17 · Speculative future Nikkors chat


jpelt78 wrote:
Nikon is currently expanding its lens factory footprint in Japan. The two new facilities they are building will be coming online next year in the summer. Construction began in January of this year. I would bet things will pick up after that. The more specialty lenses have been made in Japan in the past.


That will prove to be a very important investment indeed for Nikon.



Aug 23, 2026 at 01:04 AM
EB-1
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p.1 #18 · Speculative future Nikkors chat


Is manufacturing the problem? I'd think they need more in R&D and an alternate sensor supplier.

EBH



Aug 23, 2026 at 06:17 PM
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p.1 #19 · Speculative future Nikkors chat


I think everyone is missing why things are so slow on Photography growth- the money is going elswhere!

Nikon is betting on cinema because that's where the growth is: the stills market has been flat for years while video demand keeps climbing, and Nikon was never in that conversation. Buying RED for roughly $85M got them a Hollywood-credible brand overnight, and they've already put Z-mount on the Komodo-X and V-Raptor X, cut RED's prices to compete with Blackmagic, and shipped the ZR with RED tech inside. Nikon's own investor materials now call cinema a core growth pillar alongside lithography. The tradeoff is that R&D and attention follow the strategy, so stills shooters should expect video to shape what comes next.




Aug 23, 2026 at 08:01 PM
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p.1 #20 · Speculative future Nikkors chat


For those of us against cinema, that's not good news.

EBH



Aug 23, 2026 at 08:52 PM
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