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R7II Rumours

  
 
rscheffler
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p.3 #1 · R7II Rumours


Scott Stoness wrote:
The r7 original at 15fps (EFCS) is 3ms effective 14 bit 32mpx. The only reason to use apsc on r5ii is i) the inconvenience of carrying / using a 2nd camera, and ii) you need 30fps at 6ms read speed. 17mpx is okay as long as you don't need to crop much. And why crop in camera when you could do it in computer. R7 at 32mpx 15fps for most purposes is superior at apsc.

So r7ii is not likely to be worse than r7.


APS-C is useful on the R5II if you have to deliver SOOC jpegs. Not something the majority on this board do. 17MP is more than enough for many applications. I personally prefer to have FF and usable APS-C options in one camera. Basically a built-in TC when 45MP FF capture is oversampled down to 24 or 12MP. This puts 17MP dead in the middle, though not as clean at high ISO as the oversampled FF files.

EFCS is frustrating to use on the R7 for any kind of fast action work due to the EVF lag and blackout. Therefore it's a no-go in my books, based on my experience with it. For more leisurely work, it's a fun camera. For this reason, for the R7II to potentially interest me, it will have to have a stacked sensor for usable e-shutter. But I'm also in the minority here as I would not primarily be using such a camera as a solution to increase pixel density in otherwise lens-based reach limited situations.



Apr 07, 2026 at 12:09 AM
Steve Spencer
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p.3 #2 · R7II Rumours


rscheffler wrote:
APS-C is useful on the R5II if you have to deliver SOOC jpegs. Not something the majority on this board do. 17MP is more than enough for many applications. I personally prefer to have FF and usable APS-C options in one camera. Basically a built-in TC when 45MP FF capture is oversampled down to 24 or 12MP. This puts 17MP dead in the middle, though not as clean at high ISO as the oversampled FF files.

EFCS is frustrating to use on the R7 for any kind of fast action work due to the EVF lag and blackout. Therefore it's a
...Show more

Ron,

I agree. For me, I weight the better viewfinder experience (some call it blackout free, but it is also larger and smoother) of the R5II as more important than the extra fps it provides without distortion in electronic shutter mode. The R7 is great, but for action shooting I much prefer the viewfinder from the R5 II and that is the primary reason I think of the R7 as my backup camera. 16/17 MP is almost always enough for my needs, so if I want a 1.6X crop I will grab the R5 II almost all the time primarily for the better viewfinder experience even though the R7 would provide double the pixels.



Apr 07, 2026 at 06:30 AM
Scott Stoness
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p.3 #3 · R7II Rumours


I spent some time noodling the r7ii rumours and costs and market differentiation. It feels like all rumours point to 39mpx. They need a fast read speed, thus bsi/stacked. This takes them to $2500 USD with extra costs for heat, cfexpress, sensor and another 50-100grams. They want to brag 39mpx, 8k video, 40fps, and 5ms read speed vs fuji xt5. They need to anticipated sony 6800 and beat fuji xt5 and their 26mpx version.

But $2500USD for 40fps, 39mpx, 8k videoand 5ms will be diminish r5ii sales. They will have to limit something. 1stop dynamic range and use full L glass may not be enough. They don't want to challenge r5ii market in the future.

Potential market differentiation [1stop dynamic range, use full ff glass] No clog2, less buffer, worse screen, 4k/60 upsampled, price increase to $2999 usd, what else?



Apr 08, 2026 at 10:07 AM
garyvot
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p.3 #4 · R7II Rumours


Scott Stoness wrote:
But $2500USD for 40fps, 39mpx, 8k videoand 5ms will be diminish r5ii sales. They will have to limit something. 1stop dynamic range and use full L glass may not be enough. They don't want to challenge r5ii market in the future.


While this may impact sales of full frame cameras within the specific niche of birders and wildlife shooters, Canon sells a boatload of 5- and 6-series cameras to photographers and videographers of many other persuasions. In most professional disciplines, switching to APS-C from full frame is not really on the table for discussion I imagine, no matter how good the R7II might be.

But, I am sure Canon has factored in all of this calculus into their product planning and pricing. Better to cannibalize their own sales than for a competitor to do so, certainly.



Apr 08, 2026 at 10:57 AM
Steve Spencer
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p.3 #5 · R7II Rumours


Scott Stoness wrote:
I spent some time noodling the r7ii rumours and costs and market differentiation. It feels like all rumours point to 39mpx. They need a fast read speed, thus bsi/stacked. This takes them to $2500 USD with extra costs for heat, cfexpress, sensor and another 50-100grams. They want to brag 39mpx, 8k video, 40fps, and 5ms read speed vs fuji xt5. They need to anticipated sony 6800 and beat fuji xt5 and their 26mpx version.

But $2500USD for 40fps, 39mpx, 8k videoand 5ms will be diminish r5ii sales. They will have to limit something. 1stop dynamic range and use full L
...Show more

I'm not so sure the 39 MP is a number based on any actual information from Canon and instead isn't just a number made up when someone generated a rumor. Why would I say that? It turns out that 39 MP is the number of MP you would get with an APS-C sensor that has the same pixel density as a 100 MP FF sensor. I am suspicious that somebody worked backwards from a hypothetical 100 MP FF sensor to the 39 MP APS-C sensor. I know if I were Canon I wouldn't use that 39 MP number. If I am going to make the highest APS-C pixel density camera ever, which is what this would be, I would make pixel density just a bit higher so the camera has at least 40 MP like the Fuji X-T5 and X-H2. To me it makes little sense you would come that close to your competition but wouldn't at least match them. Yes, 39 MP would be enough for 8K, so maybe it is accurate, but I have my doubts.

I also don't think it is going to be a 39 MP BSI stacked sensor with 3 ms sensor scan speed. The Fuji X-H2S is their camera with a stacked BSI sensor and it has just 26 MP with a 6 ms sensor scan speed. A 39 MP, 3 ms sensor scan speed sensor would go far past the Fuji X-H2S which costs $2,900. I can't see how Canon could hope to compete on price with an already pretty expensive camera with a sensor with so much higher specs. The Fuji X-H2S also has a 5.7 million dot blackout free EVF, so the Canon R7 II would have to significantly improve the EVF as well and do all of that while keeping cost down. I don't think that is reasonable to expect. If Canon is going to make a camera with a stacked sensor BSI, then I think it is much more reasonable to expect a 24 MP 6ms sensor scan speed sensor. With such a sensor the Canon can reasonably compete with the Fuji for price.

Instead Canon might go with a 39 (or 40) MP BSI non-stacked senor. The Fuji X-T5 and X-H2, which has a form factor closer to the Canon, both have 40 MP BSI non-stacked sensor with pedestrian sensor scan speeds. I think it is unreasonable, however to expect that Canon can go much if any faster than the R5 (16.3ms sensor scan speed) with a non-stacked sensor. I believe that is the fastest non-stacked sensor out there and even the semi-stacked sensor in the new Sony A7V is hardly faster (15.2ms sensor scan speed). The Fuji X-T5 is $2,000 and the Fuji X-H2 is $2,300 and both have better EVFs (3.7 and 5.7 million dots respectively) than the Canon R7, so if Canon wants to even compete with them they have to keep the price down and probably improve the EVF as well and that is for a camera that comes in at $2,000.



Apr 08, 2026 at 02:06 PM
Mike_5D
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p.3 #6 · R7II Rumours


What scan speed is required to shoot stick and round ball sports in electronic shutter without making boomerangs and rugby balls?


Apr 08, 2026 at 02:37 PM
Scott Stoness
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p.3 #7 · R7II Rumours


Mike_5D wrote:
What scan speed is required to shoot stick and round ball sports in electronic shutter without making boomerangs and rugby balls?


Rules of thumbs - fast speed birds in flight, beat wings, bats in motion require under 10ms.

However when you take pictures of slower walking animals with >200mm lens, the angular movement magnified by say 300mmx1.6 is significant. If you have a slow sensor the feet will move faster or slower than the head, creating distortion. So if you are shooting 800mm (1280 effective or 26x magnification of bottom vs top of sensor), its even more important. eg 3ms.

So lets call it 0 best (global shutter), 3(efcs equivalent) excellent, 6 (r5ii) enough, more than 10ms (r5 is about 15) is going to be difficult with a longer lens or a hummingbird close in. 30ms (r7 in electronic) is barely useable.






Apr 08, 2026 at 04:23 PM
garyvot
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p.3 #8 · R7II Rumours



Steve Spencer wrote:
I would make pixel density just a bit higher so the camera has at least 40 MP like the Fuji X-T5 and X-H2.


One thing to bear in mind is that Canon's APS-C sensors have a physically smaller package than other manufacturers' sensors (~1.6x vs ~1.5x). Given this, it is possible that a 39 megapixel Canon sensor would in fact achieve the highest density currently available.



Apr 08, 2026 at 06:47 PM
EB-1
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p.3 #9 · R7II Rumours


Those would be noisy little photosites. Assuming the 7680x5120=39MP at 22.3x14.9 mm then it is a 2.9 µm pixel pitch at most. It might be a little smaller if there a few extra pixels around the edges.

EBH



Apr 08, 2026 at 09:37 PM
garyvot
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p.3 #10 · R7II Rumours


EB-1 wrote:
Those would be noisy little photosites. Assuming the 7680x5120=39MP at 22.3x14.9 mm then it is a 2.9 µm pixel pitch at most. It might be a little smaller if there a few extra pixels around the edges.

EBH


One would think. Yet the noise from the 40Mp sensor in the Fuji X-T5 is not worse than the R7; in fact, it may be a little cleaner based on the image quality comparator on dpreview.com. (It does seem a bit softer though, but I think that is down to ACR not being optimized for the Fuji X-Trans sensor unless RAW Details is enabled.)

Whether Canon could match that is hard to say, but they will likely be competitive.

For what it's worth, I recall we were debating pixel density vs. noise back when APS-C first moved beyond 6 MP, haha. And let's not get started on diffraction...



Apr 09, 2026 at 12:16 AM
 


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p.3 #11 · R7II Rumours


garyvot wrote:
One would think. Yet the noise from the 40Mp sensor in the Fuji X-T5 is not worse than the R7; in fact, it may be a little cleaner based on the image quality comparator on dpreview.com. (It does seem a bit softer though, but I think that is down to ACR not being optimized for the Fuji X-Trans sensor unless RAW Details is enabled.)

Whether Canon could match that is hard to say, but they will likely be competitive.

For what it's worth, I recall we were debating pixel density vs. noise back when APS-C first moved beyond 6 MP, haha. And
...Show more

In the past Fuji has applied in-camera high-ISO noise reduction even to RAW files, resulting in visible smearing of detail at high ISO; even with their own raw converter this was clear with the X100S. However, I don't know if they do that today. The dpreview X-T5 vs. R7 studio comparison does seem to give the clear image quality edge to Fuji as there is less aliasing with the high-resolution X-Trans sensor. Good work on Fuji's part there.

Clearly, a 40 MP 1.5x sensor can give good image quality and 39 MP 1.6x would not change that appreciably. But Canon uses different technology in their sensors than Fuji, and Canon's dual-pixel autofocus means the number of actual photosites would be twice that, or 78 MP in a 1.6x crop sensor area. Whether this would be too noisy is up to the implementation, then. A stacked sensor with fast read time would likely be a bit noisier than a conventional sensor with slower read time. (The X-T5 sensor is not stacked.)

Since now we have compact long focal length lenses available at reasonable prices from Canon (and also other manufacturers), I don't see much benefit in pursuing the development of a high-performance APS-C camera for the purposes of supertelephoto images of birds and such subjects. If you need greater portability and lower price, you can make the compromise by using a longer focal length, smaller aperture lens as an alternative to using a shorter but faster lens with APS-C. Fuji has the 40 MP X-T5 (and they have a stacked sensor 26 MP model) but has focusing on APS-C made them the most popular wildlife camera brand? No, it hasn't. The manufacturers who chose to focus on 2x and 1.5x sensors are there in the marketplace but they are not as popular as Canon, Sony, or Nikon, who put their best development efforts on their full-frame cameras.



Apr 09, 2026 at 04:19 AM
Steve Spencer
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p.3 #12 · R7II Rumours


ilkka_nissila wrote:
In the past Fuji has applied in-camera high-ISO noise reduction even to RAW files, resulting in visible smearing of detail at high ISO; even with their own raw converter this was clear with the X100S. However, I don't know if they do that today. The dpreview X-T5 vs. R7 studio comparison does seem to give the clear image quality edge to Fuji as there is less aliasing with the high-resolution X-Trans sensor. Good work on Fuji's part there.

Clearly, a 40 MP 1.5x sensor can give good image quality and 39 MP 1.6x would not change that appreciably. But Canon
...Show more

I don't think Fuji applies any noise reduction to their RAWs. Bill Claff monitors this closely at photons to photos and he doesn't report any noise reduction in their RAW files. It is actually Canon that has a bit of noise reduction in some of their RAW files (but not files from the R7) that Bill caught and reported. IMO, however, it is minor and not really worth spending much time considering.

Sony built sensors still have a slight advantage over Canon bulit sensors, but that advantage has gotten smaller each year. I don't think it is enough to spend much time considering at this point. Especially the newer Canon sensors. The sensor in the R7 is still a bit of an older Canon sensor, but I expect a new one with the R7 II and I think the difference between its performance and the Sony made Fuji 40MP sensor will be quite small and again from my point of view not worth spending much time discussing.

I think you are right that for a lot of people the introduction of long, smaller, slower aperture, lighter, and inexpensive telephoto options for FF cameras has quelled much of the interest for APS-C cameras for shooting things like birds. If you have a good FF camera with a stacked BSI sensor like the Sony A1 or A9, the Canon R5 II, R1, or R3, or the Nikon Z8 or Z9, then adding an APS-C camera for shooting birds is going to be the more expensive route to go. Buying a lens with the same capabilities as an APS-C camera and lens is going to cost you less if you already have one of those very wildlife capable cameras.

It is of course different for Fuji and Olympus that do not have FF cameras. They both have developed stacked BSI sensor cameras for their smaller format cameras and lenses to match those cameras in an effort to compete. In the end, however, a Fuji X-H2S and their 500 f/5.6 or an Olympus OM-1 Mark II and their 150-400 f/4.5 Pro is not going to cost less much less than the Sony A1 and their 400-800 f/6.3-8 or the Canon R5 II and their 200-800 f/9, or the Nikon Z8 and their 800 f/6.3 PF. The Sony and Nikon options are a bit more, but you get a bit more capabilities and if you just go down to the 200-600 type lenses and add a 1.4X TC instead of their more premium lenses those systems do compete for costs with the smaller format systems.

Canon might surprise me, but because of this reality (a smaller sensor camera with a stacked BSI sensor still results in an expensive camera and still requires an expensive lens) I don't expect the R7 II to have a stacked sensor and be designed for wildife and bird photographers. Instead, I expect it will compete at a lower cost segment with the non-stacked sensor X-T5 and X-H2. I do expect Canon to update the sensor with their newer technology for sensors. I expect that sensor to have at least the pixel density of the Fuji 40MP sensor cameras. I hope they upgrade the EVF to at least 3.7 million dots with 100% magnification. Of course good optics are important for a viewfinder so I hope they do a good job there as well. I might well be disappointed, however.

For me, I want the R7 II as a potential backup to my R5 II, so what it will really be competing with for me is the with the R8 II. It will be most interesting to me how those two cameras compare. It isn't just me, however, because the R7 serves as my wife's primary camera as well. So her thoughts about the R7II vs. the R8 II will be the primary criteria when we replace the R7. So for me the capabilities of this camera for wildlife shooting matter, but they are not even close to the primary driver as I anticipate this camera.



Apr 09, 2026 at 08:13 AM
EB-1
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p.3 #13 · R7II Rumours


garyvot wrote:
One would think. Yet the noise from the 40Mp sensor in the Fuji X-T5 is not worse than the R7; in fact, it may be a little cleaner based on the image quality comparator on dpreview.com. (It does seem a bit softer though, but I think that is down to ACR not being optimized for the Fuji X-Trans sensor unless RAW Details is enabled.)

Whether Canon could match that is hard to say, but they will likely be competitive.

For what it's worth, I recall we were debating pixel density vs. noise back when APS-C first moved beyond 6 MP, haha. And
...Show more

2.9 µm pixels in a 2026 sensor should be better than 3.2 µm pixels from the 2019 tech sensor (90D, M6 II).

Noise and diffraction are why the best use case is a fast lens. A 400/2.8 with a built in 1.4x TC would be a nice combo and a 600/4 with the internal TC also for the smaller species.

EBH



Apr 09, 2026 at 10:32 AM
Scott Stoness
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p.3 #14 · R7II Rumours


re

"Since now we have compact long focal length lenses available at reasonable prices from Canon (and also other manufacturers), I don't see much benefit in pursuing the development of a high-performance APS-C camera for the purposes of supertelephoto images of birds and such subjects. "

Canon has
RF 100-400mm F5.6-8 (560mm f11 w1.4x),
RF 200-800mm F6.3-9 (1120mm f12 w1.4x)
RF 100-500mm F4.5-7.1 L (700mm f10 w1.4x)
RF 600mm F4 (800/F5.6 w1.4x)

On R7 apsc family they become:
[RF 100-400mm ] 160-640mm F5.6-8 (896mm f11w1.4x)
[RF 200-800mm ] 320-1280mm F6.3-9 (1792mm f12 w1.4x)
[RF 100-500mm ] 160-800mm F4.5-7.1 (1120mm f10 w1.4x)
[RF 600mm F4 ] 960mm F5.6 (1344mm f9 w1.4x)

There are 2 users that Canon is targeting - big budget end bird photographers with fast lens that outresolve the sensor eg (600f4, 500f4, 100-300 2.8) and the lower budget crowd (100-400, 200-800, 800/f11, 600/f11, 100-500).

For the big budget photographers, a 39mpx apsc is a good solution because it means 39mpx vs 17mpx (r5 cropped) on a full frame camera. The original r7 30ms read speed diminished it as a great tool because of rolling shutter. The original r7 only works well in EFCS (14bit, 3ms effective read speed, 15fps). Putting a bsi/stacked sensor in r7ii will make the r7 attractive because they can shoot at 39mpx 30fps electronic without rolling shutter effects.

For the lower budget photographers (100-400, 200-800, 100-500) the R7 has not been as attractive because of the rolling shutter issues which made 30fps unusable at high lens magnification. Even though their lens do not outresolve their sensor, and moving from say 24mpx to 39mps is muted, the BSI/Stacked 5ms read speed will make their 30fps useful in avoiding slow read speed distortion.

So there are benefits in both groups. More good pixels (at 30fps) per bird magnification for the big budget market without halving the shutter speed; and being able to use the 30fps without rolling shutter issues for the lower budget market. I think it will sell well in each sector.

eg. there is room in the market for this camera.



Apr 09, 2026 at 10:40 AM
Steve Spencer
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p.3 #15 · R7II Rumours


Scott Stoness wrote:
re

"Since now we have compact long focal length lenses available at reasonable prices from Canon (and also other manufacturers), I don't see much benefit in pursuing the development of a high-performance APS-C camera for the purposes of supertelephoto images of birds and such subjects. "

Canon has
RF 100-400mm F5.6-8 (560mm f11 w1.4x),
RF 200-800mm F6.3-9 (1120mm f12 w1.4x)
RF 100-500mm F4.5-7.1 L (700mm f10 w1.4x)
RF 600mm F4 (800/F5.6 w1.4x)

On R7 apsc family they become:
[RF 100-400mm ] 160-640mm F5.6-8 (896mm f11w1.4x)
[RF 200-800mm ] 320-1280mm F6.3-9 (1792mm f12 w1.4x)
[RF 100-500mm ] 160-800mm F4.5-7.1 (1120mm f10 w1.4x)
[RF 600mm F4 ] 960mm F5.6
...Show more

Sorry, but I just don't think that makes sense from a marketing stand point. Of course that is just my opinion and I could be wrong.

I think if you want to go after the big budget shooter, you make a R1R with a stacked BSI FF sensor with 100MP that still has a 3ms sensor scan speed. That is the same pixels as on a proposed 39 MP BSI stacked sensor APS-C camera, just across a bigger sensor. Canon could charge $10,000 or probably even $12,000 for that camera and it would be a great halo product. Remember these are big budget shooters who spend $15,000 to $20,000 on a lens, so they should be able to spend even this very high price on a camera. So, if the market is there for big budget shooters, then I think that is the camera you build.

For low budget shooters, who spend $500 on a lens I don't think a $3,000 camera fits very well into their budget and realistically a 39MP 3ms sensor scan speed sensor in this camera is going to push the price at least close to $3,000. If the budget shooter is your market, then you have to have a budget priced camera. For that shooter, I think a non-stacked sensor with its drawbacks is probably all they can afford or maybe a 24MP 8ms sensor scan speed stacked sensor camera that they could get the price down close to $2,000.

A $3,000 camera is not for either the low budget shooter or the high budget shooter. If Canon makes a 39 MP 3ms stacked BSI APS-C camera it will be for the prosumer market because that is the price class it is and I agree with Ikka that market has spoken pretty clearly that they want FF cameras mostly and the big percentage of that market is going to pick a R5II over that APS-C camera if they want Canon, or a used Sony A1 original if they want Sony, or a Z8 if they want Nikon. Pixel density and a smaller sensor is just not going to drive sales of such an APS-C camera. I can't see Canon doing it, but again maybe I am wrong.



Apr 09, 2026 at 11:33 AM
EB-1
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p.3 #16 · R7II Rumours


They are all consumer products. I doubt Canon is going like Leica with super-expensive since the volume is too low. Eventually they should have a FF body with more pixels, though I'm not convinced they will jump to 102MP immediately.

Everyone has a budget and lenses are useful far longer than cameras. I'd rather spend $16K for a lens and $2K-$7K for a body. In the old days I'd average a new body every year with about 4 years total use per body. I only need one 600/4 and it could be used for 8+ years, so the overall lens cost is less critical. Maybe nowadays the improvements are slower, so say 6 bodies/8 years. That could be like $4K x 6 + $16K = $40K or $5K/year for the big tele setup.

EBH



Apr 09, 2026 at 01:47 PM
Steve Spencer
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p.3 #17 · R7II Rumours


EB-1 wrote:
They are all consumer products. I doubt Canon is going like Leica with super-expensive since the volume is too low. Eventually they should have a FF body with more pixels, though I'm not convinced they will jump to 102MP immediately.

Everyone has a budget and lenses are useful far longer than cameras. I'd rather spend $16K for a lens and $2K-$7K for a body. In the old days I'd average a new body every year with about 4 years total use per body. I only need one 600/4 and it could be used for 8+ years, so the overall lens
...Show more

I agree the volume is probably too low for super-expensive cameras, and that is why I don't think Canon will make a super high pixel density stacked BSI sensor FF camera.

I also think the volume is probably too low for a super high density stacked BSI sensor APS-C camera. People who can afford such a camera can afford a moderate density stacked BSI sensor FF camera, like the R5 II, and that is what they will choose together with longer lighter lenses with slower apertures if that is all they can afford. The super high density stacked BSI sensor really only makes sense over a medium density stacked BSI sensor, if you only shoot wildlife and don't use the camera for other things. Once you start to use the camera for other things, the FF sensor comes in handy and you can still get good wildlife shooting by choosing longer lenses with slower apertures to match what you can get with APS-C. To me that makes the market for super high density APS-C sensor cameras pretty small. I could be wrong, but that is my sense why Canon makes a medium density stacked BSI sensor camera, and they will never make a super high density stacked BSI sensor APS-C camera.



Apr 10, 2026 at 07:12 AM
gkinard1952
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p.3 #18 · R7II Rumours


EB-1 wrote:
They are all consumer products. I doubt Canon is going like Leica with super-expensive since the volume is too low. Eventually they should have a FF body with more pixels, though I'm not convinced they will jump to 102MP immediately.

Everyone has a budget and lenses are useful far longer than cameras. I'd rather spend $16K for a lens and $2K-$7K for a body. In the old days I'd average a new body every year with about 4 years total use per body. I only need one 600/4 and it could be used for 8+ years, so the overall lens
...Show more

Canon has sussefully change that way of thinking, now it is a R5II , R1 paired with a 100-500 f/7.1, 200-800 f/?, 800 f/?, 600f/11. Just smart marketing, Much easier to make a camera than a lens. Look at their success. Now even Sony and Nikon are in on the game. High end cameras and junk glass are where the money is. Canon is pioneering the way... Can't stop it now, one of the reasons they don't update their Super tele lenses. They are making a killing with their marketing.,..



Edited on Apr 10, 2026 at 08:19 AM · View previous versions



Apr 10, 2026 at 08:11 AM
Scott Stoness
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p.3 #19 · R7II Rumours


Steve Spencer wrote:
I agree the volume is probably too low for super-expensive cameras, and that is why I don't think Canon will make a super high pixel density stacked BSI sensor FF camera.

I also think the volume is probably too low for a super high density stacked BSI sensor APS-C camera. People who can afford such a camera can afford a moderate density stacked BSI sensor FF camera, like the R5 II, and that is what they will choose together with longer lighter lenses with slower apertures if that is all they can afford. The super high density stacked BSI
...Show more

I have done some speculating with AI, and concluded that Canon could do 39mpx, bsi, stacked for about $2500 USD. More heat to deal with, new chip, cfexpress. higher costs of storage etc. So lets say it could be priced from $2400 to 2900. $1000 more than original R7 release price plus inflation.

I guess the question is - how many photographers can afford the new product. There were 500,000 and 300,000 R6 and R5 family sales last year. If 1/3 of r5's (bigger budget) and 10% (lower budget) of R6's this would be 150,000 sales and $375million in revenue. Even at 1/2 this market, it still would be enough to proceed (spread the development costs over a big enough base and make profit) , but Canon would just trickle it into the market.

I think $2500 is viable. Some of the lower budget gang might just buy a r7 orginal once the light shines on R7II. And the 8kvideo might bring canibalize R5 family sales, unless they come out with something big for R5iii, but they could deal with this by reducing R7 video capabilities (no clog2, heat issues, etc) and perhaps making R5iii into 80mpx.



Apr 10, 2026 at 08:13 AM
Steve Spencer
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p.3 #20 · R7II Rumours


Scott Stoness wrote:
I have done some speculating with AI, and concluded that Canon could do 39mpx, bsi, stacked for about $2500 USD. More heat to deal with, new chip, cfexpress. higher costs of storage etc. So lets say it could be priced from $2400 to 2900. $1000 more than original R7 release price plus inflation.

I guess the question is - how many photographers can afford the new product. There were 500,000 and 300,000 R6 and R5 family sales last year. If 1/3 of r5's (bigger budget) and 10% (lower budget) of R6's this would be 150,000 sales and $375million in
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Ok, but I will just agree to disagree as I think AI is designed to tell us what we want to hear and not confront us when our hopes are too high. In my view, AI is exactly the wrong thing to ask about such things. I think we are beginning to see strong evidence for that. Take that for what it is, my opinion about AI.

My opinion is also that neither Canon nor anyone can build a 39 MP stacked BSI 3ms APS-C camera and make a profit selling it at $2,500 or even $2,900. If you disagree that is fine. We can just agree to disagree and I think we will see before long what Canon actually does.



Apr 10, 2026 at 08:21 AM
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