Kerry Pierce Offline Upload & Sell: Off
|
For me, there's far too much confusion over the d600, to even try to guess at how well it will sell. Given the cost of an FX sensor compared to DX, there's a built-in difference that is substantial, not only for the sensor, but for the mirror box and associate items as well, especially if it comes in at the rumored 6fps. It costs more to run an FX mirror at 6fps than it does DX.
At this point, I tend to believe that a d600 is coming. What I find hard to believe is the specs, especially for the $1500 price that so many seem to think it will be.
The d7k MSRP was $1500 at announcement. So, how can a d600 with very similar specs, come in at anywhere near that price? The cost difference for the sensor, mirror box and associated components, plus the fact that the market is smaller, would likely be $600 or $700 at a minimum. Seems very likely to me, that *if* the rumored specs are correct, the minimum MSRP would far exceed $2k US.
A very good example is the cost difference between the d300 and d700, when they were announced. The d300 was around $1800 MSRP and the d700 was around $3k US, which was the same for the d800 at announcement, with a slightly lower spec'd body than the d700.
Lastly, the 5dII apparently is going to continue in Canon's product line. It's being sold for about $1995, in the places that I checked. Canon is also rumored to be coming out with a "cheap" FF body this fall. So, why would any Canon user switch to Nikon for the d600, when the 5dII is already below $2k and there's rumor of an even cheaper body coming? The d700 has been available for very good prices lately and it's a premium body. Isn't it likely that most anyone that really wants a Nikon FX camera, would have already bought a d700? Are there really that many photographers that would pass on a d700, just to wait for a rumor to come true? Is the rumored 24mp sensor really that important to those folks?
For the d600 to hit $1500 US, I'd expect it to have basically the same specs/components as the d3200.
IMO, the numbers just don't crunch. I'm intrigued by the idea of the d600, but it's hard to get excited about it, given the current info. Hopefully, we won't have too much longer to wait for some factual information on it.
Kerry
|