BPsmith511 wrote:
Selling before the next model is even announced is always premature. There have also been about 0% reports of WR coming, it's only ever been a pipe dream. What if rumor sites were wrong and it had a 50mm equiv lens? Or the X-Pro3 screen?
You're giving up a known,usable product for something that is decently unknown until officially announced next week. Besides, WR is often over-stated. I've shot in wet, windy conditions with non sealed lenses and cameras and done perfectly ok as long as you're not dunking it, and then it still wont be covered.
A couple more thoughts about this.
Not only is the gamble that an unknown future product will have a feature or features that haven't been announced for it, but...
... the only positive outcome from this gamble is that you might end up with a bit more money if you sell the current camera now rather than later.
So, basically the best case outcome is that you sold the old camera for a few hundred dollars more than you might have later and (outlier case here) the new incremental upgrade to the model is actually a lot better AND it includes features that no one predicted it would have.
Not all that likely.
More likely outcomes:
The new camera doesn't have giant, life-changing new features or capabilities. It has a few more MP in the sensor, maybe a slightly better lens, etc. You end up spending the difference between the sale price of the old camera and the new-product list price of the new one for improvements of dubious value, though you did decrease the delta between the two prices. (Of course, in this case, the decrease in value of the old camera when the new one arrives is perhaps not as large as you might have hoped.)
The new camera comes with something that you might regard as a negative — let's say the display system (or removal of OVF magnification scaling) on the XPro3. You decide that you would have been at least as well off with the camera you had, or that perhaps you would have been better off.
- - -
Today the increment of improvement from camera model to camera model is much smaller than it was, say ten years ago when the technology was less advanced and was improving in larger increments. Today it is almost never a worthwhile investment to upgrade to the newest model from the previous iteration — the improvements are typically quite small and may have literally no real world effect on your photography. In general, an every-two-generation strategy makes a lot more sense, and even then you need to look at the products objectively
