Monito Offline Upload & Sell: Off
|
burningheart wrote:
My predictions for Aug 24 announcements
1. Canon officially ends production of film cameras and 1.6x crop digital cameras
Canon will not end the 1.6 crop cameras. Canon is very committed to them because their sensors are much less expensive to make, the cameras are smaller, which appeals to many people, and lots of other reasons. 1.3 will be merged into the top of the line full-frame cameras. There are no ultrawide lenses for the 1.3 crop except a couple of third party zooms and an expensive manual Zeiss or Leica.
Canon has already announced an end to R&D for film cameras. However, the existing production lines are just making gravy because there are no more R&D costs. Large parts of the globe, especially Africa, do not have much digital penetration and film is still viable, though not forever. Do not expect Canon to end film camera production for at least three years, and probably at least five years.
2. 1Ds Mark III 25MP - "the legend" with the Digic III sensor and a smaller body about the size of the 5D - I'm saying bigger than rumored 22MP with a self cleaning sensor. ISO Range 25-6400. An improved LCD that can be seen in daylight.
I will be surprised if there is not a Digic III. The flagship camera is not going to be the size of the 5D. It may be smaller than the 1DsII behemoth, but not much. ISO 25 would come at the expense of dynamic range, even more so than ISO 50, but it is possible. 6400 is also possible, but I don't think likely this time around.
3. A new 35mm L lens
No need for it, unless there is some ETL flash issue like the one that prompted the 85 f/1.2 upgrade. A 30mm f/1.4 EF-S or f/1.8 would make a lot more sense.
4. A new 50mm f1.2 L lens
Possible, but I don't expect one. There are three strikes against this hypothesis: 1) Higher ISO in digital has greatly reduced the need for 1/3 extra stop. 2) Little demand for an expensive lens. 3) Canon has bigger fish to fry. For example, Canon needs sharper ultrawide lenses with good full-frame sharpness. I'm hoping for a 21mm f/2.8 or f/3.5 up to $1500, but I don't know when it will come about.
5. New more powerful editing software to replace existing ZoomBrowser EX.
Always a possibility, but Photoshop CS2/3 and Photoshop Elements and GIMP reduce the need and utility for this. I don't use ZB.
My wish list
1. A mighty new big zoom lens 150-600mm or 200-600mm L
2. 800mm lens
3. Circular fisheye lens
These are actually more likely than your main list. I would think that an 8mm EF-S fisheye would be a good seller. I think the zoom would more likely be a 240-500 or 300-600. Not much demand for an 800mm lens because few could afford one.
|