gdanmitchell Offline Upload & Sell: Off
|
No one can really "know" the price of a future, unannounced camera. However, you can make some educated guesses about what realistic expectations might be.
For example, it would be a huge surprise if its list price was lower than that of the R5 list price. More likely, based on how things have gone in the past with similar introductions, it is likely to be listed somewhere between the same price of its predecessor and perhaps $500 higher or so.
At the same time, it matters what competitors are doing with their prices on similarly positioned cameras. (In this case, that would be their highest MP camera.) The price deltas among similar models from different brands tend to not be all that great, though the newest thing can often be a bit higher than the older things from other manufacturers.
What about the price of the R5 as a new rumored R5II is announced and then released? There will be a lot of factors depressing the prices of the R5 at that point. There are a lot of R5 units out there now, so the number of used copies continues to increase, exerting downward price pressure on the market for used and new copies. In addition, some number of people will start to sell off their R5 bodies in anticipation of the R5I — not a huge number, but it is enough to make a difference.
This means that there will undoubtedly be some real deals on the R5 leading up to a R5II announcement and for some time after it arrives and until the old R5 stock is gone. You may see bundle deals with the R5 and lenses, for example. At the very end you might even see some blow-out prices, though that's not a sure thing.
As to the back-order issue, how to think about that really depends on you and your circumstances. If you _need_ the R5II right away, you'd probably consider paying a premium to pre-order one as soon as possible... and take the risk (small, but there) that early copies could have some issues that didn't get caught during beta testing.
If you just need a good, competent camera right away... why wait?The R5 is a fine camera and it will meet the needs (and exceed them in many cases) of most photographers who have one. If possible, look for a deal — a bundle or perhaps a good price on a used copy.
If you think you'd like the R5II (whatever it turns out to be and whenever it arrives), then you might consider patience. How big of a problem would it be to wait a few months after its introduction? For most people, it isn't a problem.
And, as in my parenthetical above, we don't really know what its features will be, when it is coming or even if it is coming... so there's bound to be a great deal of uncertainty that can't be resolved at this point.
Edited on Sep 11, 2023 at 01:28 PM · View previous versions
|