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p.1 #6 · p.1 #6 · Pre-order: Fuji GFX 100 Medium Format Mirrorless Camera | |
gdanmitchell wrote:
A few things will be interesting to watch:
1. How much higher with the cost of this thing be by comparison to the current Fujifilm miniMF cameras? (Indications that it will be double the price!
2. How much bigger and heavier will it be and what, aside from the higher MP sensor, will that weight give us?
3. What other manufacturers will soon introduce their miniMF cameras with the same 100MP sensor? Pentax is 9over0due for a refresh, and we can expect a few others, too.
4. How long will Fujifilm be able to sustain the rumored nearly-$10k price, a huge margin above their other miniMF cameras?
5. How long until Fujifilm introduces R and S models using the same sensor? (Fujifilm's typical policy has been to use the same sensor across a generation of cameras — see the XPro2, XT2, etc.)
Dan
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Here are my thoughts in response to your questions here:
1) It appear that the first camera Fuji is going to offer will go for just under $10,000, but I expect as I outline below that there will be other versions that will be significantly cheaper. We will see a price bump with this new sensor, but the extra cost here is a lot more than the sensor. When some of that stuff is stripped away, the cost will be more like $2,500 or $2,000 I would guess for the new sensor.
2) The first camera they offer will be heavier and bigger, but my guess is that Fuji will make sure it is smaller and lighter than the Pentax 645Z which ought to be pretty easy for them. What else will you get?
Here is a list of things we know will come with this new camera:
100mp sensor - yes that is a lot of resolution, but keep in mind what this will do for using the camera in other modes. You will be able to shoot it in FF 35mm mode and have about a 59.5 MP image. Some people would love to have this camera and use it with FF 35mm lenses quite a bit with that high resolution and it will still be a top performing sensor when used at that size. I would expect both high DR and great high ISO performance even in FF 35mm mode. But there is more it will have about 25.4 MP in APS-C mode and even 22.6 MP in m4/3rds mode and even in these small format modes this sensor will likely be very competitive with the best sensors made for these small formats. That means if someone wants to they could shoot the camera in m4/3rds mode with the GF 250 f/4 and the 1.4X TC and have quite competent very long lens performance.
It will shoot up to 6fps in 44 X 33 format, but likely can shoot much faster in other formats.
It will almost certain have 4K video and with such a big sensor that will be totally new to the video market.
It will have on chip PDAF for much better AF. This will be a huge deal for a lot of people.
It will have back side illumination (BSI) of the sensor which will mean a fast sensor read out and likely some things listed below.
Here is a list of things that we seem quite likely to get with this camera:
IBIS has been rumored and is to be expected I think.
For FF 35mm I believe every sensor that has gone to BSI has also incorporated the Aptina DRX technology which allows about 2/3rd of a stop better high ISO performance. I expect that with this sensor as well. You need more room on the sensor for this technology and BSI allows for that room.
The BSI sensor allows faster reading of the sensor which should translate into less EVF lag and faster refresh. This update in the performance of the EVF would be a nice addition for the camera.
A more effective silent shooting mode. Increasing the speed of the sensor read out should improve the silent shutter mode. We won't get Sony A9 type performance here, but we may well get Sony A7r II and Nikon Z7 performance.
Here is a list of things I expect we will get with this camera:
A higher resolution EVF - possible with the new camera and help justify the price. All Fuji has to do is go with one similar to the new Panasonic S1 series cameras.
High flash sync speed - I think this ought to be possible and nice move up as well.
I expect super fast cards slots and of course two of them either XQD or maybe even the brand new Sony tech.
I think we will likely get a ridiculously high super resolution mode using the IBIS for pixel shift. If you want to print billboards that you can view a foot away this might allow it. More seriously, it will also improve dynamic range and reduce noise in environments when that is important and you can use this mode. Like all such modes I think there will be some serious limitations on when it can be used.
That is an awful lot of stuff added. I think we can expect there will be a smaller body like the current GFX-S that will come out early in 2020 and will have some but not all of this stuff. It may have a lower resolution EVF (perhaps a lot like the current one). It likely will have slower fps. It may have less video capabilities. It likely won't have the super fast cards slots--I would predict just UHS-II. I would expect it to have PDAF, however, and I expect IBIS as well (though I could be wrong about that). I expect it to be about $8,000 although it might well be $7,500. Finally near the end of 2020 I expect an R version, which I think will basically be the same body we have in the GFX-R but with the new sensor. I expect something like 3 or 4 fps, no IBIS, or any of the other goodies, but I do expect PDAF for improved AF. I expect it to go for about $6,000 or maybe $6,500. So, the price increase has to be understood in light of these other likely models, IMO.
3. Pentax will soon introduce a 100MP DSLR as well. I expect it to be about $7,500. As a DSLR I don't expect it to have PDAF. It will be able to shoot 6 fps (if they can get the big mirror moving that fast), and I don't expect IBIS but Pentax does like that technology so you never know. Sensor read out is not such a big deal for this camera neither is 4K video, but I would expect them to offer the video capability. I also expect that DJI will make a Hassy X2D, but I don't expect IBIS with that camera, but I do expect 6fps and PDAF. This will improve that system quite a bit and the better electronic shutter will make the camera more useful with more adapted lenses. I have my doubts about how well Hassy can make the PDAF AF work, but maybe that is unfair. I would expect that camera to be at least $12,000, but maybe they will price it to be competitive with the high end Fuji camera.
4. I would expect in the three year or so cycle before the next generation of GFX cameras come out for Fuji to drop the price on all three cameras by about $1,000. This ought to be possible just through diminishing prices of the sensor as production ramps up. Being Fuji I do expect about 20% off sales from time to time as well. Personally, I will probably get the S version of the camera when I can get it for about $6,500.
5. I have already answered #5 above. I expect an S version announced at least by Q1 2020 and an R version by Q4 2020.
Good questions, it will be interesting to see how this plays out.
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