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Sam Bennett wrote:
Yakim Peled wrote:
Apart from allowing faster AF, the mirror has no advantage in a DSLR. As soon as contrast AF is as fast as phase AF, the last remaining reason for its existence will be gone. My guess is that by 2020 no new DSLR will have it.
Then they'll no longer be SLRs.  But again, what you say may be true but it doesn't mean Canon will be willing to throw out decades of lens designs and alienate millions of current customers to take advantage of mirrorless designs. Again, from a business perspective I don't see why Canon would do it.
Let me put on my Product Manager hat here for a moment (that's what I do in real life, fwiw). From a business perspective, staying with the status quo makes more sense for them in terms of SLRs. When they look at the Micro 4/3 market and the needs it's addressing, I suspect that "interchangeable lenses" will not be one of the core features Canon sees as being important there. I think they will see that better DoF control, better high ISO quality and higher Dynamic Range in highly responsive bodies as being the core values that the largest number of potential MFT buyers really want in comparison to P&S cameras and thus will provide a body that does that with a fixed lens while still providing an upgrade path into Canon's extremely well-established (and extremely profitable) dSLR system.
The DSLR segment will eventually flatten out in growth, and eventually the last field will be played out (small, inexpensive FF DSLR); new growth markets, from a business perspective are allways sought after.
One major advantage of a NIKON or CANON mirrorless INTERCHANGEABLE lens body is its ability to fully use the native AF lenses (D, DX, EF and EFS respectively). They then have a body that many DSLR owners may grab as a carry-on, or back-up to their extensive AF lens lineup. An optional lens line is also not out of reach given each company's RD department sizes.
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