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Archive 2009 · The Canon Fallout

  
 
Kerry Pierce
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p.4 #1 · The Canon Fallout


Nikon is back? Where were they, in reality? In reality, they had a lock on 2nd place, by a huge margin, with well over 30% of the market, IIRC, long before the d3.

The hype that canon was the "only" camera worth having, at any point in the past, is absurd. High ISO is not now, and never has been the only criteria that applied to all photography and photographers. That should have gone without saying.......

Certainly neither company offers gear that is perfect, without problems. I don't care what the fanboys on either side say. Smack talking is just that..........





Mar 16, 2009 at 12:15 PM
rkinz
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p.4 #2 · The Canon Fallout


Of course Canon cameras can take pictures in focus. But part of this thread is about how consistent that focus is and how many shots it takes to get a shot that's in focus... Got it now? Amazing how some people want to take the "focus" off the issue at hand and place it somewhere easier to defend.

Any camera can take pictures in focus. If you want to use a camera that only takes 70% in focus vs. one that takes 90% in focus, fine for you (but not your clients if you are doing event photography).

And about all those pro wedding photographers using Canon. Do you have any idea how many pictures they take at a wedding? It's easy to get 50 great shots with a Canon when you take 1000 and your partner takes 1200. My old Elan could do the same, but I wouldn't try to claim there's no practical difference between it and a modern DSLR with a reliable focusing system.

I have three different "once in a lifetime" shots of close family members taken with Canons (XTi and 5D) over the course of a couple years. All three were still lifes (2 with support), all in OK light, all with decent shutter speeds, all using center point AF and Canon primes. All are out of focus. I can't ever get those lost in time moments back, but I can make damn sure it does not happen again by never using a non-pro Canon to take a photo...









Mar 16, 2009 at 02:03 PM
LeifG
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p.4 #3 · The Canon Fallout


Kerry Pierce wrote:
Nikon is back? Where were they, in reality? In reality, they had a lock on 2nd place, by a huge margin, with well over 30% of the market, IIRC, long before the d3.

The hype that canon was the "only" camera worth having, at any point in the past, is absurd. High ISO is not now, and never has been the only criteria that applied to all photography and photographers. That should have gone without saying.......

Certainly neither company offers gear that is perfect, without problems. I don't care what the fanboys on either side say. Smack talking is just
...Show more

Well actually not that long ago Nikon were seriously lacking, and in many markets such as birding Canon dominated by a huge margin. Nikon was once the number one 35mm camera company, but then market share started slipping by worrying amounts, Nikon had slow screw driver AF on most lenses, few lenses with VR, no competitive digital bodies, poor high ISO performance, only one tilt shift lens and so on. Canon had fast AF and IS in most pro lenses. Lots of high profile professionals switched for the simple reason that Canon allowed them to earn a living more easily. I can think of Franz Lanting as one, and these are not the sort to switch on a whim. At that time Nikon forums were full of moaners on the verge of switching. And if you think this is hype, the reality is that Nikon knew they were in trouble. It has been well documented by many informed observers that senior Nikon executives got a serious bollocking and the fantastic new bodies and lenses we see today are the result.

And I have no idea what "Smack talking is just that" means.



Mar 16, 2009 at 05:57 PM
Jorge Torralba
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p.4 #4 · The Canon Fallout


I put a little rant together on my thoughts

http://www.thecameraforum.com/forums/showthread.php?threadid=427



Mar 16, 2009 at 07:37 PM
Kerry Pierce
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p.4 #5 · The Canon Fallout


LeifG wrote:
Well actually not that long ago Nikon were seriously lacking,


Try being specific. How "exactly" were they lacking? Your saying so, doesn't make it so, nor do the market share numbers agree with your very obscure statement. I would imagine that Herb could tell you the precise numbers, going back for years.

The bottom line is that nikon has been 2nd in market share, for many years, by a huge margin. They have a dominant position in the market and have been making record profits and market share gains, for several years now, again, long before the d3. Nikon began gaining market share and increasing profits with the introduction of the d70. They've gained with every model since, so, I see no reason to buy your statement.



and in many markets such as birding Canon dominated by a huge margin.


Not that it matters, but put up some numbers, from a reliable source that can be verified independently, to support that contention.

Niche markets and high profile pros are not anywhere near the majority of the market, nor do they comprise the lion's share of the profit. Your assertion that nikon is "back" now, apparently because of the d3 and later cameras, doesn't hold water. The numbers, any way you want to look at them, do not support that at all.

For example, FX cameras, according to people like Thom Hogan, comprise less than %5 of the total market for nikon. The same is said to hold true for canon.


And I have no idea what "Smack talking is just that" means.


talking smack is talking nonsense, basically.






Mar 16, 2009 at 08:43 PM
kane513
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p.4 #6 · The Canon Fallout


in before the lock!


Mar 17, 2009 at 01:48 AM
LeifG
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p.4 #7 · The Canon Fallout


Kerry Pierce wrote:


I have already explained quite clearly. Since you cannot read I will repeat some important points:

1) Canon had fast AF in most/all pro lenses. Nikon didn't. Most had screwdriver AF.

2) Canon had IS in most pro lenses. Nikon did not have an equivalent for quite some time.

3) High ISO performance of cameras such as the D70 was abysmal.

Kerry Pierce wrote:
Your saying so, doesn't make it so, nor do the market share numbers agree with your very obscure statement. I would imagine that Herb could tell you the precise numbers, going back for years.


My statement was not obsure. You yourself said that Nikon share was down to 30%. It is now on roughly even terms with Canon. Or are you disagreeing with yourself?


Kerry Pierce wrote:
The bottom line is that nikon has been 2nd in market share, for many years, by a huge margin. They have a dominant position in the market and have been making record profits and market share gains, for several years now, again, long before the d3. Nikon began gaining market share and increasing profits with the introduction of the d70. They've gained with every model since, so, I see no reason to buy your statement.


Kerry Pierce wrote:
Interesting. You attack me for not giving sources, then you make statements without giving sources. Pot kettle and black come to mind.

Not that it matters, but put up some numbers, from a reliable source that can be verified independently, to support that contention.



Go to any birding forum, and read the posts. Until a few years ago Nikon high ISO performance was poor. The D70 was awful. There were no long VR lenses. There is no 400mm F5.6 AF and no ~80-400mm with fast AF. Basically most birders went with Canon for good reason.

Kerry Pierce wrote:
Niche markets and high profile pros are not anywhere near the majority of the market, nor do they comprise the lion's share of the profit. Your assertion that nikon is "back" now, apparently because of the d3 and later cameras, doesn't hold water. The numbers, any way you want to look at them, do not support that at all.

For example, FX cameras, according to people like Thom Hogan, comprise less than %5 of the total market for nikon. The same is said to hold true for canon.



I made no such statement. I made no mention of the D3. You are putting words into my mouth. But the performance of low end Nikon cameras is now at least as good as those from Canon. And price wise Nikon are now very competitive at the low end.

Kerry Pierce wrote:
talking smack is talking nonsense, basically.





Mar 17, 2009 at 03:28 AM
panos.v
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p.4 #8 · The Canon Fallout


LeifG wrote:
Go to any birding forum, and read the posts. Until a few years ago Nikon high ISO performance was poor. The D70 was awful. There were no long VR lenses. There is no 400mm F5.6 AF and no ~80-400mm with fast AF. Basically most birders went with Canon for good reason.


While I agree about the lenses, saying that a D70 is an awful birding camera is wrong, given that the D70 was never intended as a fast AF tracking camera for birding. It is like saying a cameraphone is a bad portrait camera.

And the D70/70s was not awful, it was excellent for what it was and it was the camera that put Nikon back in the game: an affordable, feature rich lightweight camera with good low light AF for travel or easy-going shooting conditions, with a build quality that made it feel a lot sturdier than Canon cameras. The nearest Canon offered was either the trully horrible, in comparison, 350D that felt like a toy or a 20D/30D that you'd have to pay about 30-40% more for (at least in the UK).

Overall, for the price the D70 was on sale, it was probably the best camera in price/featue ratio. And it still offers a few features that no Canon digital camera does, even today: CLS control and a proper AF assist light, instead of the disco-light of epilepsy that Canon passes as AF assist.



Mar 17, 2009 at 05:08 AM
ozhop
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p.4 #9 · The Canon Fallout


The Canon fallout for me is AF or lack there of.

I had a Canon 30D and last year wanted the 1DMkIII for a 3 month trip to South America and Antarctica. The issues of inconsistant AF and a once in a lifetime trip, and AUD$6000 prevented me from buying this lens. I bought a 5D MK1 instead. Love that camera

I took some great photos and missed more, some because of the camera's AF and I'm sure more because of me.

When my wife said that she was unhappy with her Pentax K10D's AF speed and 3FPS I gave her my Canon gear and have bought a Nikon D700. Why because I had lost faith in Canon to produce a camera with features that I wanted at a price point I was willing to pay.

Only time will tell if I made the right choice..... or if I have to Borrow my wife's Canon



Mar 17, 2009 at 05:47 AM
LeifG
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p.4 #10 · The Canon Fallout


panos.v wrote:
While I agree about the lenses, saying that a D70 is an awful birding camera is wrong, given that the D70 was never intended as a fast AF tracking camera for birding. It is like saying a cameraphone is a bad portrait camera.

And the D70/70s was not awful, it was excellent for what it was and it was the camera that put Nikon back in the game: an affordable, feature rich lightweight camera with good low light AF for travel or easy-going shooting conditions, with a build quality that made it feel a lot sturdier than Canon cameras. The nearest
...Show more

I did not say the D70 was awful. It was in many respects a wonderful little camera and the first 'affordable' Nikon DSLR for amateurs such as myself. But for birding (and many others uses such as concert photography) the Canon cameras offered significant benefits, both high ISO, and lenses. Why do you think Canon sales were so much higher at that time? And why Nikon are doing so well now?



Mar 17, 2009 at 06:04 AM
gugs
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p.4 #11 · The Canon Fallout


panos.v wrote:
CLS control and a proper AF assist light, instead of the disco-light of epilepsy that Canon passes as AF assist.

you made my day

Guy



Mar 17, 2009 at 06:38 AM
kane513
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p.4 #12 · The Canon Fallout


ROFL Disco light of epilepsy...


Mar 17, 2009 at 09:50 AM
Kerry Pierce
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p.4 #13 · The Canon Fallout


LeifG wrote:
I have already explained quite clearly. Since you cannot read I will repeat some important points:


I have no trouble reading, but you seem to have a lot of trouble writing.


1) Canon had fast AF in most/all pro lenses. Nikon didn't. Most had screwdriver AF.


Really, when was AF-S introduced, last week? The 28-70 and 80-200 AF-S lenses came out many years ago. Those 2 lenses, then the 70-200vr in 2004, would have been the staple lenses in the vast majority of "pro's" and amateur's bags. AFAIK, all of the big exotic primes have been AF-S for years.


2) Canon had IS in most pro lenses. Nikon did not have an equivalent for quite some time.


Right, such as? Their 24-70 isn't IS. The 70-200vr and 200-400vr have been out for years. Curiously, canon doesn't have a match for the 200-400vr. Nikon introduced the 200 f/2 in 2004, but canon only recently matched it, late last year..... So, you have to be talking about the big exotics, another niche market..... BFD. How many big exotic lenses do you own? How many people do you know, that own a 400 f/2.8?


3) High ISO performance of cameras such as the D70 was abysmal.


That camera sold at least a couple million copies and, IIRC, was the best selling camera for nikon, ever. High ISO is not the be all, end all, today and never was. But even for high ISO, the d50 came out in 2005.


My statement was not obsure. You yourself said that Nikon share was down to 30%. It is now on roughly even terms with Canon. Or are you disagreeing with yourself?


Yes, your statement was obscure, nothing of substance, and still is. Market share for canon is/was in the 40% range. Nikon's market share is/was in the 30% range. They have always been roughly on even terms, comprising almost 80% of the market between them. Everyone else takes up the remaining 20%. Nikon has always been 20% market share ahead of the number 3 player. Assuming that they current market shakes out some weak players, nikon isn't likely to be one of those falling by the wayside.


Kerry Pierce wrote:
The bottom line is that nikon has been 2nd in market share, for many years, by a huge margin. They have a dominant position in the market and have been making record profits and market share gains, for several years now, again, long before the d3. Nikon began gaining market share and increasing profits with the introduction of the d70. They've gained with every model since, so, I see no reason to buy your statement.

Interesting. You attack me for not giving sources, then you make statements without giving sources. Pot kettle and black come to mind.


My statement is easily verified with google searches. Yours is not.

Kerry Pierce wrote:
Niche markets and high profile pros are not anywhere near the majority of the market, nor do they comprise the lion's share of the profit. Your assertion that nikon is "back" now, apparently because of the d3 and later cameras, doesn't hold water. The numbers, any way you want to look at them, do not support that at all.

For example, FX cameras, according to people like Thom Hogan, comprise less than %5 of the total market for nikon. The same is said to hold true for canon.



I made no such statement. I made no mention of the D3. You are putting words into my mouth. But the performance of low end Nikon cameras is now at least as good as those from Canon. And price wise Nikon are now very competitive at the low end.


Of course you made no such statement about the d3. You made an ambiguous, obscure, meaningless statement. Now you're dogging the d70, which was nikon's best selling camera of its time.

Again, the bottom line is that nikon isn't "back" now. At the very least, they've been "back" since the introduction of the d70 in 2004. To make the math easy for you, that's 5 years. They came out with the d50 in 2005, which by most accounts, is a very good high ISO camera. Niche markets such as birding didn't make or break any camera company, but there were a lot of birders using the d2x and d2h.

Nikon laid an egg with the d2h, but that certainly doesn't mean that the d2h was a crap camera. It just didn't hit its intended market, which again, is a niche market. The d3 corrected that marketing mistake. If you had said that nikon was "back" into the sports market now, then I'd have agreed with you.





Mar 17, 2009 at 10:27 AM
James R
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p.4 #14 · The Canon Fallout


But does Kenny R say?


Mar 17, 2009 at 10:37 AM
panos.v
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p.4 #15 · The Canon Fallout


Kerry, chill out. The fact is that Nikon's superteles got VR quite some time after Canon had IS in theirs. There is still no 300/4VR. There is no 17-55VR, like Canon's. There is no 24-105VR and there is none of the numerous 70-200 IS versions and so on. I'm not saying that these lenses are necessarily "professional" or that they are needed at all, but Canon gives you the choice of making up your mind at that. Nikon doesn't. And a lot more Canon lenses have AFS/USM unlike Nikon, just look at the prime lineup, the first Nikon AFS prime shorter than 200mm was introduced just a few months ago with the 50/1.4 AFS. Canon has USM on anything but the older 15/2.8, 24/2.8, 28/2.8, 35/2 and 50/1.8.

The facts are the facts.



Mar 17, 2009 at 10:42 AM
Iocol
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p.4 #16 · The Canon Fallout


panos.v wrote:
Canon is not failing. Nikon is just catching up after being left behind in the early digital race. Each system has some strengths and weaknesses. In the past Nikon had a few weaknesses that measurberators and people who use cameras as penis extensions would use to win pissing contests like "my camera is better than yours looooooooser, Dee Pee Review says so, just look at the ISO 3200 tests of their famous bottle of Martini and other silly props". Then they'd go on to shoot some crap photos of their kids playing football with a plastic fantastic 70-300 and would
...Show more

Great post. Pretty much sums up my thoughts



Mar 17, 2009 at 10:56 AM
Rodolfo Paiz
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p.4 #17 · The Canon Fallout


Kerry Pierce wrote:
Market share for canon is/was in the 40% range. Nikon's market share is/was in the 30% range. They have always been roughly on even terms, comprising almost 80% of the market between them. Everyone else takes up the remaining 20%. Nikon has always been 20% market share ahead of the number 3 player. Assuming that they current market shakes out some weak players, nikon isn't likely to be one of those falling by the wayside.


When speaking specifically of DSLR sales, which we really should be doing because those are what the discussion has focused on, the difference is actually much smaller. Market-share data from IDC (see CrunchGear and PDNPulse) indicates that Canon had a big lead in 2006 (46.7% to Nikon's 33%), but that said lead nearly evaporated in 2007 when the results were nearly neck-and-neck (42.7% to 40%).

Full 2008 reports are not yet available. However, they should be pretty interesting. Canon has been #1 in P&S sales at 18% for the last year or two, with Sony second at 16%. Yet Nikon announced at PMA that they had scored that #1 position in December 2008, according to the NPD group. Whether that's a one-month outlier or an indication of a stronger trend, I don't know. But either way, it should definitely affect Nikon's market-share numbers in a good way. I would not be surprised to see Nikon DSLR sales exceed Canon's, since 2008 was a very good year for Nikon and the 1D3 year for Canon.

Note that none of the above means I think that Canon is failing. Canon has had a very bad year, has thoroughly screwed the pooch with the 1D3 (and their handling of the 1D3 situation has been a much, much bigger fiasco than the already-substantial problems caused by the AF issues), and there's going to be some dark days in Canonland. But both Nikon and Canon will soldier on, both will have good years and bad years, and both will remain good and solid systems.

I wish Canon and their users the best of luck. I'm sure things will get better for them. On an individual basis, I love my Nikons much more than I ever loved my old Canons. Unless there is a game-changing circumstance that really threatens the future of Nikon as a company and a system, I'm a-stayin' right here.

Edited on Mar 17, 2009 at 11:12 AM · View previous versions



Mar 17, 2009 at 11:09 AM
Kerry Pierce
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p.4 #18 · The Canon Fallout


panos.v wrote:
Kerry, chill out. The fact is that Nikon's superteles got VR quite some time after Canon had IS in theirs. There is still no 300/4VR. There is no 17-55VR, like Canon's. There is no 24-105VR and there is none of the numerous 70-200 IS versions and so on. I'm not saying that these lenses are necessarily "professional" or that they are needed at all, but Canon gives you the choice of making up your mind at that. Nikon doesn't. And a lot more Canon lenses have AFS/USM unlike Nikon, just look at the prime lineup, the first Nikon AFS prime
...Show more

I don't dispute any of that. I simply don't see any reason to believe that it matters. How many supertele exotics do both companies sell? OTOH, how many "normal" lenses do they sell? Do you really believe that AF-S in a short prime makes a significant difference? I've seen no evidence to suggest that it does, at least for the vast majority of applications. Lots of folks use MF on such lenses.

Regardless, the market gains and record profits that nikon has been posting since the introduction of the d70, tell all of the story that matters. If the "problem" lenses of which you speak make or break a company, why has nikon been recording record profits and market share gains since 2004? And why would you ignore the 200-400vr and 200 f/2, for example? Only nikon "problems" count?

The point is and always was, that there are differences between the 2 companies, both good and bad. Neither of them are perfect and nikon was never out of the game. For every "problem" you want to cite with nikon, an equal number of "problems" can be cited for canon, or any other company, for that matter. IMO, nit-picking minor details is a waste of time. Nikon has been producing lots of lenses, every year and all of them are top notch for their intended market. Will they ever make every lens that will satisfy every user? not likely........

So, let's not pretend that canon is supreme and nikon is crap, because of these lenses, when the bottom line, profits and viability are what matters.





Edited on Mar 17, 2009 at 11:15 AM · View previous versions



Mar 17, 2009 at 11:12 AM
gman1339
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p.4 #19 · The Canon Fallout


And the Nikkor 85mm f/1.4 AF-D focuses faster than the Canon 85mm f/1.2 L USM. So what exactly does USM get you? Of that's right, quiet operation and precise operation from what Canon says.


http://www.canon.com/technology/canon_tech/explanation/usm.html


The only things AF-S gives you on the short primes is the ability to autofocus on bodies that don't have a motor and the ability to grab the focus ring and manually focus without flipping the AF/MF switch on the lens. Nikon has shown with it's newest lenses that they don't autofocus any faster than the existing AF-D designs did (at least noticable through human perception).



Mar 17, 2009 at 11:13 AM
AGeoJO
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p.4 #20 · The Canon Fallout


gman1339 wrote:
And the Nikkor 85mm f/1.4 AF-D focuses faster than the Canon 85mm f/1.2 L USM.


This issue was discussed before somewhere else. It has to do with the larger/longer focusing helicoid of the Canon lens. Let's say if it takes the lens 3/4 turn to get from the close focusing distance to inifinity while that of Nikon is shorter, less than that. Why? Because the lens is more designed to be used at wide open, which creates a shallow DOF, shallower than if the aperture is closed down. So, focusing accuracy is critical and a longer focusing throw will provide more accurate focusing. In addition, the larger/heavier glass of a faster lens requires more torque to get the focusing elements in place. Even the lowly Canon 85mm f/1.8 focuses way faster than the aperture-wise faster lens of the same manufacturer. Just FYI, I am sure you can understand that.



Mar 17, 2009 at 11:36 AM
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