Ralph Conway
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Jeff wrote:
I don't think you need to tell us again; anyone who is in the least aware of what has happened with the MkIII series cameras in combination with the current market conditions could rightly assume that they won't last anywhere near a full 3 year cycle.
It would indeed be Canon's downfall if they did.
I don´t know the numbers. But I guess the xDs may be sold in the 10 thousends, while the xxDs are sold in the 100 Ths, the xxxDs in the Million(s).
And by far not all customers are unhappy with their xD1 MK IIIs. Nobody seems to be unhappy with the 1Ds MK III. Of course, there still is NO competitor.
I think Canon (their newest release 50D brought them leadership again in the Semipro segment, again with no competitor - the D300 is high end prosumer) is back. You are right with your expectation that 1D and maybe 1Ds MK IIIs will not have a 3year lifespan. Now there is Digic IV => what leeds to MK IV. But they are far away from "downfall".
Next step will be leadership again in their own created FF midklass. And of course they will have will have an follow up for 1D and 1Ds, too. I guess within the next half year.
But I am not really interessed in those, before they are not affordable for me.
I once payed € 2400 for my D60. And it was a great camera. two month later they offered 10D with digic I at half the price. I did NOT realize and was NOT angry. The camera did its job for 3 and a half years, before the shutter broke and I realized that the 350D costs € 200 more than the repair and it would give me 2MP more Digic II and a tremendous higher IQ. I switched to a 30D half a year later just before 40D came out.
In September I shot first time with a 5D. That was when I knew the next body would be FF with minimum 5Ds IQ. 1D did not offer that but a speed, what I do not need. Nikon does now and better in high ISO (what I need) but at a "feature price" of additional € 1000-2500. So what? I thought about the D700. But the presentation told me it makes more sense to wait. The presentator did not know the camera. And a Nikon customer who owned the D200, the D300 and ordered the D700 told me to wait and that he would have bought the 5D 3 years ago, if he would not have to buy new lenses, too.
He sayd: "Wait till Photokina. Canon will not let Nikon go. The 5D is what WE get now. The 5D follow up will be great again. The 5D still is!" Nice man.  He trusted more in Canon then many Canoniers do.
Ralph
Edited on Aug 29, 2008 at 12:36 AM
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