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Future Predictions About Photography
  
 
PrecisionPhoto
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p.1 #1 · p.1 #1 · Future Predictions About Photography


Fun read.......................

We all wonder what Nikon or Canon’s next camera is going to be like or how will social media channels that affect our business evolve in the near future. But what about the distant future of photography? Let’s see some predictions about the photography, gear and business.

Some of these may sound like utopian predictions, but considering the rapid evolvement in technology, it is quite likely that some might come true sooner than anticipated. So, based on my personal implications and with the help of some Fstoppers writers, I gathered a chronological list:

2022 – Nikon announces D900, a smaller DSLR with 75-megapixel resolution and 8K video capability.

2023 – A photographer finally manages to accumulate $1,000 of sales on stock photography. (by Jerome Courtial)

2024 – Canon announces its first medium-format camera: Canon EOS 3D.

2025 – HDD becomes obsolete and finger-sized M2 drives are used in pocket-sized NAS systems.

2027 – Leica declares bankruptcy.

2027 – Fstoppers publishes the 500th camera bag review

2028 – Fujifilm insists on skipping full-frame mirrorless cameras.

2029 – AmazonBasics full-frame mirrorless camera becomes a top seller. Compatible with all major lens brands and sizes. Free to Amazon Prime users with unlimited cloud storage. (by Mike Stuart)

2029 – Google finally launches Google Glass with an improved camera.

2030 – Google cancels Google Glass project due to complaints about privacy.

2030 – 8K monitors become the new standard.

2030 – Sony mirrorless camera owners still use their cameras with Metabones adapters.

2031 – Sony increases battery life by 10 percent on their A-series.

2032 – The portrait of the new U.S. president is shot by the new iPhone Z.

2032 – Stills photographers will completely be replaced by videographers. 50-megapixel images will be able to be pulled from the 16K video footage. AI will select the best shots so no need for art directors. (by Paul Zuckerberg)

2033 – Sony introduces lens-shaped cameras with the sensor embedded inside the glass.

2033 – AI will replace retouchers. (by Paul Zuckerberg)

2034 – People can order custom-made cameras from big companies.

2035 – True hybrid cameras (combination of DSLR and mirrorless) become common.

2036 – FPS in sports photography is not an issue anymore as most users pick the best frame from their 32K 240fps videos.

2037 – Product photography completely dies due to evolvement of photo-realistic CGI.

2037 – Wedding photographers start having financial difficulties as the automated silent drones become common in industry.

2038 – Architectural photographers no longer exist, one-week trained operators scan the buildings and AI do the rest.

2038 – E-commerce companies no longer hire full-time fashion photographers, they hire 3D artists and use animated human models for showing the products on model.

2039 – Last Pentax user dies at the age of 60.

2040 – HDR becomes popular again by hipsters.

2041 – Street photography becomes rare as people and places from all around the world become identical.

2045 – Photo tours to the South Pole start from 0.0005 bitcoin after the effects of global warming.

2047 – People don’t even bother to capture special moments with their phones, they can buy and download all kind of photos from Facebook, which tracks people everywhere in the nick of time.

2050 – 16-core, 32 thread chips are used in cameras and all processing can be completed in camera and mobile devices.

2055 – First quantum computer for consumers is introduced by Apple, five years after Microsoft.

2060 – Videographers start losing jobs, once again because of 3D technology.

2070 – The last photographer who earned money from photography dies of a heart attack.

According to this scenario from a photographer's perspective, it seems like we will be living in a dystopia where photography will be like a golden oldie. If you have your own predictions, please share in the comments sections below while we are all enjoying photography.
https://fstoppers.com/originals/future-predictions-about-photography-193682



Aug 28, 2017 at 10:52 AM
c.d.embrey
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p.1 #2 · p.1 #2 · Future Predictions About Photography


Leica will be making cameras long after Canon becomes an office machine only company.

Do the F-Stoppers live in a reality distorsion field, of their own making—they certainly don't pay attention to what is actually happening now.

A lot of present day high-end product photography is already CGI. And it's getting better

How much longer can the 25 shots for $25.00 people survive

In another fifteen years, or so, all the gear collectors and pixel-peeper will have died off. So most of the predictions are irrelevant




Aug 29, 2017 at 12:18 AM
PrecisionPhoto
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p.1 #3 · p.1 #3 · Future Predictions About Photography


c.d.embrey wrote:
Leica will be making cameras long after Canon becomes an office machine only company.

Do the F-Stoppers live in a reality distorsion field, of their own making—they certainly don't pay attention to what is actually happening now.

A lot of present day high-end product photography is already CGI. And it's getting better

How much longer can the 25 shots for $25.00 people survive

In another fifteen years, or so, all the gear collectors and pixel-peeper will have died off. So most of the predictions are irrelevant



You having a bad year fella



Aug 29, 2017 at 12:22 AM
c.d.embrey
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p.1 #4 · p.1 #4 · Future Predictions About Photography


PrecisionPhoto wrote:
You having a bad year fella


Not me. Why would you think that



Aug 29, 2017 at 01:01 AM
 

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EB-1
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p.1 #5 · p.1 #5 · Future Predictions About Photography


Based on current trends many of those are well out of order.

EBH



Aug 29, 2017 at 01:11 AM
PrecisionPhoto
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p.1 #6 · p.1 #6 · Future Predictions About Photography


Jesus its all in fun


Aug 29, 2017 at 01:13 AM
rscheffler
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p.1 #7 · p.1 #7 · Future Predictions About Photography


I don't know about a date, but eventually photography on the mass consumer market side will become purely computational with entirely software based 'hardware filters' to adjust the look of images, i.e. focal length, depth of field, etc. Thinking about plenoptics/light-field popularized by Lytro and more recently hardware such as the Light L16. These are the forerunners.

People like us, who like using interchangeable lens cameras, will become an extreme niche, to which companies such as Leica are specifically tailored. Like it or not, the hardware of photography as we know it now will skyrocket in price due to its relegation to niche status. Film is probably the current precursor to this trend (niche, high prices, limited production and variety). As technology advances, it may be possible that at some point in the future, gear enthusiasts will be able to make their own equipment (i.e. 3D print) from open-source blueprints, partially augmenting the void created by the demise of traditional photographic hardware manufacturers.



Aug 29, 2017 at 01:14 AM
rscheffler
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p.1 #8 · p.1 #8 · Future Predictions About Photography


PrecisionPhoto wrote:
2035 – True hybrid cameras (combination of DSLR and mirrorless) become common.

2036 – FPS in sports photography is not an issue anymore as most users pick the best frame from their 32K 240fps videos.


The first could happen right now if Canon or Nikon wanted to do it. IMO, I would love a hybrid DSLR/mirrorless 1DXIII.

The second point could already happen in the next few years. I've been expecting it for the last 3-4 years already.

I shoot NFL and this is where it could happen first because of the financial resources available. But the way I see it, it will be automated cameras on the sidelines and around the stadium that will motion track players embedded with electronic tags in their equipment. See this video from 2013: https://youtu.be/qn5YQVvW-hQ

Even at 8K (~30MP) at 240+ fps, the image resolution, if well framed, will be more than enough for the majority of still image requirements. The higher fps rate allows for faster shutter speeds, which allows for better still extraction. But cameras could also shoot at higher shutter speeds optimized for stills extraction, the footage of which would be software blended to minimize the choppiness of the video at normal 30fps playback.



Aug 29, 2017 at 01:40 AM







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