Steve Spencer
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kdrk888 wrote:
OK, it's weekend so let's have some fun. The leaked (but seems legit) Nikon D850 specs are very impressive. Here is what's interesting to me:
46MP, 64 ISO
9 FPS with grip, 7 FPS without.
D5 AF
50 shots buffer
in camera focus bracketing (but needs 3rd party software to merge)
This could be THE "all-in-one" camera many people have been looking for: MP, great AF, good FPS, big enough buffer, and in camera focus bracketing! It can double as a great landscape/sports body. You can tell I am excited but I don't think I am getting one. I am 2/3 in the Sony camp and 1/3 still in the Nikon camp (for birds and airshows). I am gradually phasing out my Nikon gears.
So, what rabbit will Sony pull from its hat? . The A99II is great but A-mount is a dead end, IMHO. The A9 has the AF/speed but not the MP. A lot of folks shooting wildlife are really craving for a big MP fast camera. I keep repeating myself, I want an A99II in e-mount. .
Have a good weekend.
Douglas...Show more →
I think the big question is whether they will now go the Canon route (Canon split their 5D line into the 5D IV and the 5Ds and they cost about the same, but the 5Ds is super high Mpix but relatively slow shooting and the 5D IV is lower Mpix and faster shooting) or whether they will go the Nikon route and make just one camera that has high but not quite as high as they could go Mpix and fast but not quite as fast as they could go fps. So do the answer they 5D IV and 5Ds or do they answer the Nikon D850?
Here are my thoughts/guesses if they are to go each way. If they make two cameras to replace the A7rII, then I expect one will be the A7r III and one will be the A9r. I would expect that the A7r III will be a very high Mpix camera somewhere between 54 and 60 Mpix, but it won't be incredibly fast. It is not as if it will be dog slow either. I would expect that it would have a stacked 4th generation Exmoor sensor, which is my guess what the D850 has as well because it has 64 base ISO. The Sony A7r III with this sort of sensor could be something like 56 Mpix and 5 or 6 fps. It could probably have a sensor readout faster than the A7r II by quite a bit. Probably at least 50 millisecond (ms) and maybe even 75 (ms). This would have half the sensor read out of the A9, so not bad at all and it would support a nice advance in the AF system, that while not on A9 level (and I doubt very much it would have no EVF blackout) would still be excellent at tracking and cover almost the whole sensor. This camera will probably not focus super well in low light, but again expect a nice advance over the A7r II.
My guess is that the second camera, probably named an A9r, would be the potential killer to the D850, but would cost a fair bit more. I expect it to have a 5th generation Exmoor sensor like the A9, but have a lot higher Mpix. My guess would be a 40Mpix 12 fps camera. It would have almost the whole A9 AF system, but would probably only have a sensor readout of 90(ms) or so, which means silent shutter wouldn't work as well. It also probably won't have zero viewfinder blackout, but it could be very short viewfinder blackout. This would be an awesome camera, but it would likely cost at least as much as the A9, my guess is $5,000.
If Sony takes the Nikon route, however, I would expect a camera somewhere in between. A 50Mpix 10 fps camera is not out of the question. I think this camera would have to be under $4,000, however, so I would expect more like the a6500 AF system. I would expect it to be a stacked 5th generation Exmoor and it should have a sensor readout of close to 75 (ms), which would allow a pretty good silent shutter, but nowhere near as good as the A9. Again this would be a compelling camera and a great competitor for the D850, but there would be a case to be made for both this camera, which I think would be labelled an A7r III and the D850.
Those are my guesses, but of course I don't really no anything and this is just rank speculation.
Edited on Aug 11, 2017 at 03:52 PM · View previous versions
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