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arbitrage wrote:
I would prefer a 400/4 PF (FL?) over a 300FL but I'll take either on a D820 at 8FPS in crop mode
More lens choice is always better but Nikon has quite a bit of coverage in the 400mm range right now at many different price points, so I would guess it's not a priority for them. If they did more PF lenses though that would probably be on the list. The 400/4 DO II is almost exactly the same size as a 300/2.8, and the FL update to the 300/2.8 should have them right around the same weight as well. With a 1.4 TC you are at 420mm/F4 with possibly even better IQ, and the flexibility of moving back to a naked 300/2.8. That's probably the route I'd go given that everything should be almost exactly the same (size, weight, price).
To your other point I think 8 FPS in crop mode (hopefully 1.2 and not 1.5) on the D810 successor would be perfect. For that I could settle for 6 FPS full frame.
We can expect the 300 and 200 FL updates though, Nikon announced their intentions a few years ago now and they are the only ones left. Not sure if they will do it to the 200-400/4 or not after the 200-500 exploded in popularity - if they do it'll probably be dead last.
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