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| p.2 #1 · p.2 #1 · Infographic on the camera industry in 2013 |
I think mirrorless having roughly 20% of the interchangable lens market in the short few years they have been out is very impressive. The latest releases from Fuji and Sony are truly very capable systems. I think we'll see mirrorless continue to grow at most likely the expense of DSLR cameras.
My take is quite different. Before the advent of MILCs, the combined market shares for Canikon had always hovered around 75 to 80% of the worldwide market for interchangeable lens cameras. After the arrival of MILCs, nothing changed. It almost appears as though folks who were not fans of Canikon DSLRs continued to shun Canikon, and the opposite is also somewhat true. Mind you, this is taking the worldwide market into consideration, not just the few folks who frequent camera forums.
Simply put, Olympus, Panasonic, Sony and Fujifilm hardly made any advances in their market shares.
This is certainly true up to 2013. It is hard to say what 2014 is going to bring, but I suspect, little change.
One fact to remember is this: any product that fails to capture the interest of the American market is destined to fail.
Having said all that, I believe DSLRs will eventually be replaced by something fully electronic, mostly because it's much cheaper to manufacture electronic than opto-mechanical parts. I just do not think we are there yet.