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With VR, if my subjects are still, I can get 1 out of 2 photos crystal clear at 1/15th at 200mm.
Yes I've done that too and at 1/15th you're just within the 4 stops IS. The question is though, whether it's safe. When you're shooting a one-time event (like a wedding) with one-time fast paced moments like a first kiss, you can't afford to miss it.
Still I have tried 1/15th~1/40th with my 70-200/2.8mkII at weddings, but only for candids of guests, not essential images of the B&G.
When people are walking down the aisle, I am usually at ISO 1600-3200, f/1.4-f/2, but my shutter speed always remains at least at 1/160. Unless I can see that they're really taking their time, Then 1/125 or 1/100.
Thanks, that sounds like a good advice